| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
600 |
0.885 |
$530.97 |
$45.73 |
+9.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
355 |
0.775 |
$275.28 |
$10.58 |
+4.0% |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
245 |
0.740 |
$181.31 |
$44.95 |
+33.0% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? |
No |
159 |
0.900 |
$143.43 |
$16.13 |
+12.7% |
| Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? |
No |
159 |
0.845 |
$134.51 |
$21.49 |
+19.0% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
294 |
0.430 |
$126.50 |
$-6.14 |
-4.6% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? |
Yes |
208 |
0.585 |
$121.85 |
$18.84 |
+18.3% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
204 |
0.560 |
$114.21 |
$-5.43 |
-4.5% |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? |
No |
243 |
0.435 |
$105.88 |
$-12.22 |
-10.3% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? |
Yes |
100 |
0.790 |
$78.67 |
$-7.92 |
-9.2% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? |
No |
108 |
0.665 |
$71.91 |
$12.28 |
+20.6% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
160 |
0.415 |
$66.40 |
$20.10 |
+43.4% |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? |
No |
107 |
0.570 |
$60.70 |
$-6.98 |
-10.3% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
297 |
0.200 |
$59.35 |
$6.40 |
+12.1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by August 31, 2026? |
No |
61 |
0.967 |
$58.96 |
$1.62 |
+2.8% |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
246 |
0.230 |
$56.58 |
$2.37 |
+4.4% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.545 |
$54.50 |
$6.80 |
+14.3% |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
139 |
0.380 |
$52.82 |
$0.70 |
+1.3% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? |
Yes |
60 |
0.725 |
$43.37 |
$10.53 |
+32.1% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
165 |
0.264 |
$43.36 |
$-2.40 |
-5.2% |
| Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31? |
No |
57 |
0.715 |
$40.75 |
$2.56 |
+6.7% |
| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
108 |
0.375 |
$40.60 |
$8.57 |
+26.8% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
89 |
0.455 |
$40.29 |
$-2.62 |
-6.1% |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31? |
No |
48 |
0.825 |
$39.32 |
$3.43 |
+9.5% |
| Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30? |
No |
58 |
0.670 |
$38.76 |
$2.11 |
+5.8% |