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Trader leaderboard/smi1e

smi1e

0x9acd8d2bcabc675ef46e23d9fbb2f328cdb1a3fe
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$0
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$8
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
4W / 4L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
40%
4W / 6L
Trades (30d)
10
across 6 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.06
avg win $0 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.76
$1 won / $1 lost
Reward / Risk
0.51
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $22,456 · all-time $358,273

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 94.1% 6,360W/396L 3270 $109,341
🌤 Weather 96.4% 1,020W/38L 645 $17,376
🏛 Politics 81.8% 9W/2L 56 $4,509
🎬 Culture 81.8% 9W/2L 56 $4,509
💵 Economy 50.0% 2W/2L 4 $302
₿ Crypto 100.0% 4W/0L 4 $387

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 71°F or below on August 5? No 636 1.000 $635.45 $2.23 +0.4%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or below on August 5? No 607 1.000 $606.54 $3.34 +0.6%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C or below on August 6? No 300 0.970 $291.00 $-6.00 -2.0%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on August 7? No 269 0.992 $266.75 $0.65 +0.2%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 6? No 252 0.999 $251.68 $1.39 +0.6%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 250 0.999 $249.62 $2.88 +1.2%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on August 5? No 215 1.000 $214.89 $2.04 +1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 5? No 181 1.000 $180.79 $0.99 +0.6%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 75°F or below on August 5? No 155 1.000 $154.98 $1.47 +1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 6? No 153 0.999 $152.58 $0.84 +0.6%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 5? No 105 1.000 $104.89 $1.00 +1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 7? No 106 0.975 $103.21 $15.13 +17.2%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 7? No 99 0.994 $98.41 $0.40 +0.4%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 7? No 100 0.950 $95.00 $-3.00 -3.1%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C or below on August 6? No 90 1.000 $89.95 $0.46 +0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 5? No 82 1.000 $81.77 $0.94 +1.2%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on August 5? No 74 1.000 $73.84 $0.36 +0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C or higher on August 7? No 74 0.991 $73.79 $0.05 +0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on August 6? No 71 0.996 $70.33 $0.23 +0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 7? No 65 0.990 $64.76 $1.02 +1.6%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 6? No 59 0.994 $58.60 $0.01 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 6? No 58 0.999 $58.25 $0.28 +0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on August 6? No 56 0.995 $55.88 $0.05 +0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 6? No 55 0.990 $54.87 $-0.03 -0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on August 6? No 55 0.960 $52.80 $-1.40 -2.6%