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Trader leaderboard/smi1e

smi1e

0x9acd8d2bcabc675ef46e23d9fbb2f328cdb1a3fe
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$2
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$8
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
6W / 0L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
75%
6W / 2L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
9
across 6 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.52
avg win $1
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $19,237 · all-time $348,404

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 94.1% 6,307W/396L 3144 $106,141
🌤 Weather 96.3% 985W/38L 520 $14,433
🏛 Politics 80.0% 8W/2L 56 $4,509
🎬 Culture 80.0% 8W/2L 56 $4,509
💵 Economy 50.0% 2W/2L 4 $302
₿ Crypto 100.0% 4W/0L 4 $387

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 71°F or below on August 5? No 636 1.000 $635.45 $2.23 +0.4%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or below on August 5? No 607 1.000 $606.54 $3.34 +0.6%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C or below on August 6? No 300 0.985 $295.50 $-1.50 -0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on August 7? No 269 0.990 $266.21 $0.11 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 6? No 252 0.995 $250.67 $0.38 +0.2%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 250 1.000 $249.88 $3.12 +1.3%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on August 5? No 215 0.996 $214.03 $1.18 +0.6%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 5? No 181 0.997 $180.34 $0.54 +0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 75°F or below on August 5? No 155 1.000 $154.98 $1.47 +1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 6? No 153 0.999 $152.58 $0.84 +0.6%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 7? No 123 0.905 $111.73 $-3.09 -2.7%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 7? No 113 0.960 $108.83 $14.50 +15.4%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 5? No 105 1.000 $104.89 $1.00 +1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 7? No 99 0.995 $98.46 $0.45 +0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 7? No 100 0.925 $92.50 $-5.50 -5.6%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C or below on August 6? No 90 0.999 $89.91 $0.41 +0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 5? No 82 1.000 $81.77 $0.94 +1.2%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 5? No 77 1.000 $76.77 $1.53 +2.0%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on August 5? No 74 1.000 $73.84 $0.36 +0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C or higher on August 7? No 74 0.989 $73.64 $-0.10 -0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 5? No 72 1.000 $71.77 $0.93 +1.3%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on August 6? No 71 0.996 $70.33 $0.23 +0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 7? No 65 0.980 $64.14 $0.40 +0.6%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 5? No 64 1.000 $63.59 $0.80 +1.3%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 5? No 60 1.000 $59.97 $0.57 +1.0%