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Trader

0x9a94e5b4f0d6c646ed49e832cf8142c45474d5f9
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$22
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-28.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
4W / 3,338L · 87 open
Win Return (30d)
1%
29W / 3,392L · 8 open
Trades (30d)
3,429
across 1,562 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.01
avg win $27 · loss $0
Profit Factor
0.71
$54 won / $76 lost
Reward / Risk
542.98
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$17
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $130,232 · all-time $3,916,225

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 0.4% 164W/40,529L 20048 $1,734
⚽ Sports 0.2% 8W/3,732L 1818 $123
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/921L 590 $29
💵 Economy 0.7% 4W/589L 406 $20
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/482L 382 $19
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/786L 370 $19
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/264L 207 $10
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/236L 182 $9
🔬 Science 0.0% 0W/5L 6 $0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? Yes 50 0.991 $49.55 $49.50 +99000.0%
Will 9INE Win the Stake Pulse Beat 1 tournament? Yes 50 0.402 $20.10 $20.05 +40100.0%
Will Big Brother episode not air? Yes 50 0.349 $17.47 $17.42 +34849.8%
Will Anthropic have the third highest private market valuation on August 31? Yes 50 0.348 $17.42 $17.37 +34739.6%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Atlanta Hawks? Yes 35 0.445 $15.56 $15.52 +44350.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Orlando Magic? Yes 35 0.442 $15.47 $15.44 +44100.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Charlotte Hornets? Yes 35 0.439 $15.35 $15.31 +43750.0%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? Yes 42 0.336 $14.22 $14.18 +33499.8%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Memphis Grizzlies? Yes 35 0.403 $14.09 $14.05 +40150.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Washington Wizards? Yes 35 0.402 $14.07 $14.04 +40100.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Utah Jazz? Yes 35 0.401 $14.04 $14.00 +40000.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Phoenix Suns? Yes 35 0.399 $13.95 $13.91 +39750.0%
Will Thomas J. Smith be the MI-08 Republican nominee? No 50 0.253 $12.62 $12.57 +25150.0%
Will Donk Hit 5500 Faceit Elo by 2027? No 50 0.250 $12.50 $12.45 +24900.0%
Will Amir Hassan be the MI-08 Republican nominee? Yes 50 0.249 $12.47 $12.42 +24849.8%
Rainbow Six Siege: Help Us LFO vs Can You Be My Enemy (BO1) - Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 1 Group Stage Can You Be My Enemy 50 0.246 $12.30 $12.25 +24500.0%
Will kt Rolster Qualify for Worlds 2026? Yes 23 0.506 $11.41 $11.39 +50499.8%
Will Feather Penta in LPL Split 3 2026? Yes 44 0.257 $11.29 $11.24 +25549.8%
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes 50 0.216 $10.82 $10.77 +21549.8%
Will OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation on August 31? Yes 50 0.215 $10.78 $10.72 +21450.0%
Will Meituan be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes 50 0.213 $10.67 $10.62 +21249.6%
Will Moonshot be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes 50 0.207 $10.35 $10.30 +20599.8%
Will Philip Sarnecki win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by 5–10%? Yes 100 0.095 $9.45 $9.35 +9350.0%
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July? Yes 33 0.255 $8.40 $8.37 +25350.0%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in August? Yes 35 0.234 $8.19 $8.15 +23249.8%