PnL (30d)

+$167

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$31

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+327.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

1%

15W / 1,606L · 76 open

Win Return (30d)

5%

81W / 1,611L · 5 open

Trades (30d)

1,697

across 1,034 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$0.17

avg win $36 · loss $0

Profit Factor

4.38

$217 won / $50 lost

Reward / Risk

724.71

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$9

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	0.4% 164W/40,529L	20048	$1,734
⚽ Sports	0.2% 8W/3,732L	1818	$123
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/921L	590	$29
💵 Economy	0.7% 4W/589L	406	$20
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/482L	382	$19
🌤 Weather	0.0% 0W/786L	370	$19
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/264L	207	$10
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/236L	182	$9
🔬 Science	0.0% 0W/5L	6	$0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?	Yes	50	0.992	$49.58	$49.52	+99050.0%
Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q2 Mounjaro sales be above $10.5B?	Yes	50	0.449	$22.45	$22.40	+44800.0%
CVS Health (CVS) Q2 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 89%-90.5%?	Yes	50	0.375	$18.75	$18.70	+37400.0%
Will Big Brother episode not air?	Yes	50	0.349	$17.47	$17.42	+34849.8%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Utah Jazz?	Yes	35	0.477	$16.70	$16.66	+47600.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Charlotte Hornets?	Yes	35	0.474	$16.59	$16.55	+47300.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Orlando Magic?	Yes	35	0.468	$16.36	$16.33	+46650.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Washington Wizards?	Yes	35	0.451	$15.77	$15.73	+44950.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Memphis Grizzlies?	Yes	35	0.448	$15.66	$15.63	+44650.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Atlanta Hawks?	Yes	35	0.423	$14.82	$14.79	+42250.0%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	Yes	42	0.343	$14.49	$14.45	+34149.8%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Phoenix Suns?	Yes	35	0.396	$13.84	$13.81	+39450.0%
Will Thomas J. Smith be the MI-08 Republican nominee?	No	50	0.253	$12.62	$12.57	+25150.0%
Will Amir Hassan be the MI-08 Republican nominee?	Yes	50	0.251	$12.53	$12.47	+24950.0%
Will Donk Hit 5500 Faceit Elo by 2027?	No	50	0.250	$12.50	$12.45	+24900.0%
Rainbow Six Siege: Help Us LFO vs Can You Be My Enemy (BO1) - Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 1 Group Stage	Can You Be My Enemy	50	0.246	$12.30	$12.25	+24500.0%
Will 9INE Win the Stake Pulse Beat 1 tournament?	Yes	50	0.238	$11.92	$11.87	+23749.6%
Will kt Rolster Qualify for Worlds 2026?	Yes	23	0.506	$11.41	$11.39	+50499.8%
Will Feather Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	44	0.257	$11.29	$11.24	+25549.8%
Will Meituan be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	50	0.212	$10.62	$10.57	+21150.0%
Will Moonshot be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	50	0.206	$10.32	$10.27	+20549.8%
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	50	0.188	$9.40	$9.35	+18700.0%
Will Global Esports Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?	Yes	38	0.247	$9.39	$9.35	+24599.5%
Will Kraken have the third highest private market valuation on August 31?	Yes	40	0.228	$9.10	$9.06	+22650.0%
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	33	0.255	$8.40	$8.37	+25350.0%