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Trader leaderboard/Rex416

Rex416

0x9a3fa403a6666eef75f92f181fcf13f9c051914a
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1,096
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2,780
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
61%
293W / 191L · 106 open
Win Return (30d)
57%
338W / 252L
Trades (30d)
590
across 64 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
+$21.49
avg win $439 · loss $626
Profit Factor
1.09
$13,616 won / $12,521 lost
Reward / Risk
0.70
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$5,150
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $282,129 · all-time $19,876,646

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 50.9% 3,311W/3,190L 538 $1,669,927
⚽ Sports 59.2% 167W/115L 47 $90,990
🏛 Politics 50.8% 91W/88L 20 $86,005
🎬 Culture 78.3% 94W/26L 13 $25,218
💵 Economy 100.0% 2W/0L 1 $13,716
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/45L 1 $365

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

60 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? Yes 21,500 0.797 $17,146.28 $10,821.89 +171.1%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 30,000 0.245 $7,350.00 $1,037.82 +16.4%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 6,328 0.966 $6,109.96 $718.73 +13.3%
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 100,000 0.036 $3,650.00 $50.00 +1.4%
LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs Zeu5 Esports 4,053 0.850 $3,444.84 $54.39 +1.6%
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No 5,215 0.395 $2,057.21 $-188.12 -8.4%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes 6,000 0.265 $1,590.00 $-2,825.91 -64.0%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31? Yes 1,376 0.825 $1,135.29 $-6.11 -0.5%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? No 3,250 0.315 $1,023.75 $-216.14 -17.4%
UFC Fight Night: Henrique da Silva Lopes vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card) Louie Sutherland 2,009 0.495 $994.50 $10.05 +1.0%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? Yes 3,000 0.321 $961.49 $-230.12 -19.3%
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Yes 1,000 0.956 $955.50 $-9.50 -1.0%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes 3,000 0.290 $869.99 $-1,357.48 -60.9%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? No 7,000 0.110 $770.00 $-1,779.94 -69.8%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes 3,000 0.255 $764.99 $-642.39 -45.6%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. Bayer Leverkusen: O/U 0.5 Over 1,000 0.505 $505.00 $95.00 +23.2%
Will Paddy Pimblett fight Charles Oliveira next? No 445 0.988 $439.51 $-0.89 -0.2%
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes 5,555 0.076 $424.96 $-41.66 -8.9%
Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? Yes 5,771 0.070 $401.11 $-1,555.89 -79.5%
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2026-08-01? Yes 7,238 0.044 $322.10 $-18.18 -5.3%
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No 372 0.830 $308.78 $126.70 +69.6%
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 150m by August 31? No 300 0.981 $294.30 $36.30 +14.1%
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 5,000 0.055 $275.00 $-1,394.96 -83.5%
Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw? No 4,956 0.054 $267.65 $157.29 +142.5%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes 2,563 0.095 $243.48 $-1,080.55 -81.6%