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Trader leaderboard/Rex416

Rex416

0x9a3fa403a6666eef75f92f181fcf13f9c051914a
PnL (30d)
−$70,054
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$7,614
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
51%
3,311W / 3,190L · 562 open
Win Return (30d)
52%
3,617W / 3,384L · 62 open
Trades (30d)
7,063
across 538 markets · ~13 per market
EV / position
−$146.86
avg win $794 · loss $1,619
Profit Factor
0.77
$231,078 won / $301,132 lost
Reward / Risk
0.49
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$16,116
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $282,129 · all-time $19,876,646

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 50.9% 3,311W/3,190L 538 $1,669,927
⚽ Sports 59.2% 167W/115L 47 $90,990
🏛 Politics 50.8% 91W/88L 20 $86,005
🎬 Culture 78.3% 94W/26L 13 $25,218
💵 Economy 100.0% 2W/0L 1 $13,716
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/45L 1 $365

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

59 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? Yes 21,500 0.800 $17,200.03 $10,875.64 +172.0%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 30,000 0.250 $7,500.00 $1,187.82 +18.8%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 6,328 0.946 $5,986.56 $595.33 +11.0%
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 100,000 0.036 $3,650.00 $50.00 +1.4%
LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs Zeu5 Esports 4,053 0.845 $3,424.57 $34.12 +1.0%
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No 5,215 0.395 $2,057.21 $-188.12 -8.4%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes 6,000 0.265 $1,590.00 $-2,825.91 -64.0%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? No 3,250 0.350 $1,137.50 $-102.39 -8.3%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31? Yes 1,376 0.825 $1,135.29 $-6.11 -0.5%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? Yes 3,000 0.346 $1,039.19 $-152.42 -12.8%
UFC Fight Night: Henrique da Silva Lopes vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card) Louie Sutherland 2,009 0.495 $994.50 $10.05 +1.0%
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Yes 1,000 0.958 $958.00 $-7.00 -0.7%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? No 7,000 0.135 $945.00 $-1,604.94 -62.9%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes 3,000 0.290 $869.99 $-1,357.48 -60.9%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes 3,000 0.255 $764.99 $-642.39 -45.6%
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2026-08-01? Yes 7,238 0.105 $763.64 $423.36 +124.4%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. Bayer Leverkusen: O/U 0.5 Over 1,000 0.485 $485.00 $75.00 +18.3%
Will Paddy Pimblett fight Charles Oliveira next? No 445 0.988 $439.51 $-0.89 -0.2%
Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw? No 4,956 0.088 $438.64 $328.29 +297.5%
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes 5,555 0.076 $424.96 $-41.66 -8.9%
Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? Yes 5,771 0.066 $380.91 $-1,576.09 -80.5%
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No 372 0.830 $308.78 $126.70 +69.6%
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 150m by August 31? No 300 0.990 $296.85 $38.85 +15.1%
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 5,000 0.055 $275.00 $-1,394.96 -83.5%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes 2,563 0.095 $243.48 $-1,080.55 -81.6%