PnL (30d)

−$700

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$10

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-29.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

32%

417W / 899L · 79 open

Win Return (30d)

34%

477W / 918L

Trades (30d)

1,395

across 62 markets · ~22 per market

EV / position

−$12.72

avg win $8 · loss $32

Profit Factor

0.22

$203 won / $903 lost

Reward / Risk

0.23

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$21

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	41.4% 1,286W/1,818L	139	$9,431
🏛 Politics	64.4% 163W/90L	22	$434
🎬 Culture	64.4% 163W/90L	22	$434

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	41	0.250	$10.24	$0.53	+5.5%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	108	0.075	$8.10	$-5.89	-42.1%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	230	0.029	$6.56	$-20.37	-75.6%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	17	0.155	$2.70	$0.09	+3.3%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	113	0.018	$1.97	$-4.25	-68.3%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	789	0.002	$1.18	$-6.14	-83.9%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	153	0.006	$0.99	$-2.24	-69.2%