PnL (30d)

−$703

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$18

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-13.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

41%

1,286W / 1,818L · 105 open

Win Return (30d)

42%

1,347W / 1,862L

Trades (30d)

3,209

across 139 markets · ~23 per market

EV / position

−$5.45

avg win $10 · loss $18

Profit Factor

0.46

$588 won / $1,290 lost

Reward / Risk

0.58

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$12

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	41.4% 1,286W/1,818L	139	$9,431
🏛 Politics	62.0% 165W/101L	22	$452
🎬 Culture	62.0% 165W/101L	22	$452

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	108	0.075	$8.10	$-5.89	-42.1%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	31	0.245	$7.66	$0.38	+5.2%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	230	0.025	$5.85	$-21.08	-78.3%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	17	0.155	$2.70	$0.09	+3.3%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	113	0.018	$2.03	$-4.19	-67.4%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	789	0.002	$1.18	$-6.14	-83.9%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	153	0.006	$0.99	$-2.24	-69.2%