PnL (30d)

−$5,456

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

-9.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

28%

20W / 52L

Win Return (30d)

28%

20W / 52L

Trades (30d)

72

across 41 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$133.09

avg win $1,077 · loss $1,285

Profit Factor

0.80

$21,538 won / $26,994 lost

Reward / Risk

0.84

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$5,962

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	70.1% 844W/360L	176	$262,993
🏛 Politics	45.8% 197W/233L	35	$57,397
⚽ Sports	37.5% 3W/5L	8	$10,922

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

29 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?	No	3,600	0.885	$3,186.00	$-6.00	-0.2%
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?	Yes	2,820	0.986	$2,780.03	$649.37	+30.5%
Will Benjamin Ambrose be the MI-02 Democratic nominee?	Yes	2,703	0.966	$2,609.40	$35.63	+1.4%
Will Haley Stevens win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	1,723	0.984	$1,694.34	$1,528.50	+921.7%
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?	Yes	1,450	0.983	$1,425.66	$86.03	+6.4%
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?	Yes	1,534	0.875	$1,341.75	$5.45	+0.4%
Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	868	0.968	$840.20	$26.53	+3.3%
Will Clyde Welford be the MI-02 Democratic nominee?	No	653	1.000	$652.87	$31.75	+5.1%
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?	Yes	588	0.980	$575.52	$5.58	+1.0%
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 5–10%?	No	471	1.000	$470.94	$44.19	+10.4%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?	No	430	0.998	$428.93	$41.96	+10.8%
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	1,828	0.215	$393.02	$140.66	+55.7%
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?	No	176	0.996	$175.68	$10.31	+6.2%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	No	147	0.971	$143.14	$8.24	+6.1%
Will Jamie Hill be the MI-02 Democratic nominee?	No	132	0.982	$129.80	$2.77	+2.2%
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?	Yes	130	0.985	$127.53	$1.06	+0.8%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	No	1,451	0.046	$67.48	$-27.40	-28.9%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?	Yes	62	0.991	$61.79	$6.10	+11.0%
Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by 4–8%?	Yes	126	0.375	$47.41	$37.29	+368.8%
Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by 8–12%?	Yes	97	0.370	$35.88	$26.18	+270.0%
Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by at least 16%?	Yes	94	0.365	$34.38	$28.73	+508.3%
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	26	0.975	$25.34	$0.67	+2.7%
Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by at least 16%?	Yes	25	0.970	$24.22	$0.50	+2.1%
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?	No	14	1.000	$13.99	$0.41	+3.0%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	3,703	0.004	$12.96	$1.85	+16.7%