PnL (30d)

+$1,762

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$2,272

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

71%

824W / 340L · 280 open

Win Return (30d)

71%

1,027W / 417L

Trades (30d)

1,444

across 176 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

+$12.68

avg win $339 · loss $958

Profit Factor

1.05

$35,300 won / $33,538 lost

Reward / Risk

0.35

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$5,963

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	70.8% 824W/340L	176	$262,993
🏛 Politics	44.9% 180W/221L	35	$57,397
⚽ Sports	37.5% 3W/5L	8	$10,922

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

28 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?	No	3,600	0.880	$3,169.80	$-22.20	-0.7%
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?	Yes	2,820	0.986	$2,780.03	$649.37	+30.5%
Will Chris Stigall be the Republican nominee for MO-06?	Yes	1,866	0.996	$1,858.86	$291.59	+18.6%
Will Haley Stevens win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	1,723	0.984	$1,695.21	$1,529.36	+922.2%
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?	Yes	1,450	0.972	$1,409.71	$70.07	+5.2%
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?	Yes	1,234	0.859	$1,060.27	$-21.03	-1.9%
Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	822	0.949	$780.13	$10.81	+1.4%
Will Clyde Welford be the MI-02 Democratic nominee?	No	653	0.999	$652.22	$31.09	+5.0%
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?	Yes	588	0.980	$575.52	$5.58	+1.0%
Will Terri DeBoer be the MI-03 Republican nominee?	Yes	506	1.000	$506.24	$32.40	+6.8%
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 5–10%?	No	471	1.000	$470.94	$44.19	+10.4%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?	No	430	0.998	$428.93	$41.96	+10.8%
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	1,828	0.225	$411.30	$158.94	+63.0%
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?	No	176	0.967	$170.56	$5.19	+3.1%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	No	147	0.966	$142.40	$7.50	+5.6%
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?	Yes	130	0.985	$127.53	$1.06	+0.8%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	No	1,451	0.056	$81.26	$-13.62	-14.4%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?	Yes	62	0.991	$61.76	$6.07	+10.9%
Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by 4–8%?	Yes	126	0.375	$47.41	$37.29	+368.8%
Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by 8–12%?	Yes	121	0.380	$46.16	$34.01	+280.0%
Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by at least 16%?	Yes	121	0.380	$45.93	$38.68	+533.3%
Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by 12–16%?	Yes	303	0.103	$31.40	$1.06	+3.5%
Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by at least 16%?	Yes	25	0.968	$24.18	$0.46	+1.9%
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?	No	14	1.000	$13.99	$0.41	+3.0%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	3,703	0.003	$9.26	$-1.85	-16.7%