| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
61 |
0.825 |
$50.38 |
$0.31 |
+0.6% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
149 |
0.264 |
$39.26 |
$0.39 |
+1.0% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
41 |
0.924 |
$37.53 |
$0.05 |
+0.1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
35 |
0.955 |
$33.17 |
$0.87 |
+2.7% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
53 |
0.606 |
$32.34 |
$-2.96 |
-8.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
72 |
0.446 |
$32.01 |
$-2.01 |
-5.9% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? |
No |
31 |
0.936 |
$29.04 |
$0.06 |
+0.2% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
47 |
0.515 |
$23.99 |
$-0.70 |
-2.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
26 |
0.815 |
$21.07 |
$0.74 |
+3.7% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? |
Yes |
26 |
0.790 |
$20.58 |
$-1.54 |
-7.0% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
17 |
0.945 |
$16.49 |
$0.10 |
+0.6% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
Yes |
18 |
0.846 |
$15.57 |
$-0.09 |
-0.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
22 |
0.715 |
$15.37 |
$1.18 |
+8.3% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
15 |
0.945 |
$13.78 |
$0.42 |
+3.1% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
No |
19 |
0.712 |
$13.34 |
$-0.21 |
-1.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
15 |
0.870 |
$12.88 |
$0.30 |
+2.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
19 |
0.655 |
$12.23 |
$-0.68 |
-5.3% |
| Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? |
Yes |
15 |
0.790 |
$11.49 |
$-0.52 |
-4.3% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? |
Yes |
27 |
0.415 |
$11.38 |
$-0.14 |
-1.2% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? |
No |
11 |
0.954 |
$10.70 |
$0.03 |
+0.3% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.962 |
$10.61 |
$0.05 |
+0.5% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.938 |
$10.46 |
$0.22 |
+2.1% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? |
No |
11 |
0.930 |
$10.26 |
$-0.03 |
-0.3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
20 |
0.465 |
$9.53 |
$0.66 |
+7.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.976 |
$9.49 |
$0.31 |
+3.4% |