| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
61 |
0.835 |
$50.99 |
$0.92 |
+1.8% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
149 |
0.261 |
$38.82 |
$-0.05 |
-0.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
72 |
0.494 |
$35.46 |
$1.44 |
+4.2% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
35 |
0.950 |
$32.99 |
$0.69 |
+2.2% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
35 |
0.924 |
$32.58 |
$0.05 |
+0.1% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
53 |
0.604 |
$32.20 |
$-3.10 |
-8.8% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? |
No |
31 |
0.934 |
$29.00 |
$0.02 |
+0.1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
47 |
0.505 |
$23.52 |
$-1.16 |
-4.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
26 |
0.840 |
$21.71 |
$1.39 |
+6.9% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? |
Yes |
26 |
0.790 |
$20.58 |
$-1.54 |
-7.0% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
17 |
0.941 |
$16.43 |
$0.03 |
+0.2% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
Yes |
18 |
0.848 |
$15.62 |
$-0.04 |
-0.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
22 |
0.720 |
$15.48 |
$1.29 |
+9.1% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
15 |
0.945 |
$13.78 |
$0.42 |
+3.1% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
No |
19 |
0.723 |
$13.54 |
$-0.01 |
-0.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
15 |
0.865 |
$12.80 |
$0.22 |
+1.8% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? |
No |
13 |
0.955 |
$12.25 |
$0.06 |
+0.5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
19 |
0.655 |
$12.23 |
$-0.68 |
-5.3% |
| Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? |
Yes |
15 |
0.795 |
$11.56 |
$-0.45 |
-3.7% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? |
Yes |
27 |
0.415 |
$11.38 |
$-0.14 |
-1.2% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? |
No |
11 |
0.952 |
$10.68 |
$0.01 |
+0.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.962 |
$10.61 |
$0.05 |
+0.5% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.938 |
$10.46 |
$0.22 |
+2.1% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? |
No |
11 |
0.930 |
$10.26 |
$-0.03 |
-0.3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
20 |
0.465 |
$9.53 |
$0.66 |
+7.4% |