| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
No |
10,005 |
0.845 |
$8,454.23 |
$1,250.74 |
+17.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
19,359 |
0.305 |
$5,904.40 |
$851.94 |
+16.9% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? |
No |
5,000 |
0.985 |
$4,925.00 |
$325.00 |
+7.1% |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
5,119 |
0.750 |
$3,839.41 |
$-191.80 |
-4.8% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? |
No |
3,872 |
0.964 |
$3,730.57 |
$-22.86 |
-0.6% |
| LA28 Olympics run as scheduled? |
Yes |
4,444 |
0.660 |
$2,935.26 |
$-1,206.55 |
-29.1% |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner |
Nongshim Red Force |
4,000 |
0.710 |
$2,839.99 |
$-400.00 |
-12.3% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? |
No |
12,352 |
0.180 |
$2,223.38 |
$-2,355.38 |
-51.4% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 5, 2026? |
No |
2,125 |
0.955 |
$2,029.38 |
$181.48 |
+9.8% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? |
Yes |
6,938 |
0.255 |
$1,769.23 |
$1,160.27 |
+190.5% |
| Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
No |
2,075 |
0.740 |
$1,535.19 |
$-89.55 |
-5.5% |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
2,142 |
0.715 |
$1,530.67 |
$-139.97 |
-8.4% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? |
No |
1,505 |
0.880 |
$1,324.40 |
$195.65 |
+17.3% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin make landfall at Category 4 strength or higher? |
No |
1,088 |
0.984 |
$1,070.98 |
$29.54 |
+2.8% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 28, 2026? |
No |
1,153 |
0.905 |
$1,043.37 |
$51.88 |
+5.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
32,097 |
0.031 |
$995.00 |
$50.78 |
+5.4% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 13, 2026? |
No |
1,126 |
0.865 |
$973.73 |
$17.92 |
+1.9% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? |
No |
995 |
0.972 |
$967.58 |
$95.74 |
+11.0% |
| Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
No |
1,876 |
0.515 |
$966.14 |
$-271.36 |
-21.9% |
| Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? |
Yes |
2,716 |
0.310 |
$841.82 |
$1.92 |
+0.2% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? |
Yes |
891 |
0.875 |
$779.61 |
$13.36 |
+1.7% |
| Will HLE be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? |
Yes |
2,997 |
0.255 |
$764.29 |
$14.99 |
+2.0% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.240 |
$719.99 |
$-540.00 |
-42.9% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
1,026 |
0.625 |
$641.23 |
$202.27 |
+46.1% |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
1,021 |
0.580 |
$592.46 |
$10.31 |
+1.8% |