| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
No |
10,005 |
0.840 |
$8,404.20 |
$1,200.72 |
+16.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
19,359 |
0.305 |
$5,904.40 |
$851.94 |
+16.9% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? |
No |
5,000 |
0.986 |
$4,927.50 |
$327.50 |
+7.1% |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
5,119 |
0.755 |
$3,865.00 |
$-166.21 |
-4.1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? |
No |
3,872 |
0.966 |
$3,738.31 |
$-15.11 |
-0.4% |
| LA28 Olympics run as scheduled? |
Yes |
4,444 |
0.660 |
$2,935.26 |
$-1,206.55 |
-29.1% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? |
No |
12,352 |
0.205 |
$2,532.18 |
$-2,046.58 |
-44.7% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 5, 2026? |
No |
2,125 |
0.945 |
$2,008.12 |
$160.23 |
+8.7% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? |
Yes |
6,938 |
0.250 |
$1,734.54 |
$1,125.58 |
+184.8% |
| Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
No |
2,075 |
0.740 |
$1,535.19 |
$-89.55 |
-5.5% |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
2,142 |
0.715 |
$1,530.67 |
$-139.97 |
-8.4% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? |
No |
1,505 |
0.880 |
$1,324.40 |
$195.65 |
+17.3% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin make landfall at Category 4 strength or higher? |
No |
1,088 |
0.984 |
$1,070.98 |
$29.54 |
+2.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
32,097 |
0.033 |
$1,043.15 |
$98.92 |
+10.5% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 28, 2026? |
No |
1,153 |
0.885 |
$1,020.32 |
$28.82 |
+2.9% |
| Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
No |
1,876 |
0.525 |
$984.90 |
$-252.60 |
-20.4% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 13, 2026? |
No |
1,126 |
0.870 |
$979.36 |
$23.55 |
+2.5% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? |
No |
995 |
0.973 |
$968.08 |
$96.23 |
+11.0% |
| Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? |
Yes |
2,716 |
0.310 |
$841.82 |
$1.92 |
+0.2% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? |
Yes |
891 |
0.875 |
$779.61 |
$13.36 |
+1.7% |
| Will HLE be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? |
Yes |
2,997 |
0.255 |
$764.29 |
$14.99 |
+2.0% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.240 |
$719.99 |
$-540.00 |
-42.9% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
1,026 |
0.625 |
$641.23 |
$202.27 |
+46.1% |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
1,021 |
0.580 |
$592.46 |
$10.31 |
+1.8% |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
600 |
0.980 |
$587.70 |
$51.70 |
+9.6% |