| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
30,000 |
0.790 |
$23,715.00 |
$8,715.00 |
+58.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
30,000 |
0.209 |
$6,285.01 |
$-8,714.98 |
-58.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
7,000 |
0.865 |
$6,055.00 |
$595.00 |
+10.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
12,412 |
0.380 |
$4,716.47 |
$-817.69 |
-14.8% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
No |
4,085 |
0.957 |
$3,906.84 |
$450.90 |
+13.0% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
4,000 |
0.865 |
$3,460.00 |
$-20.00 |
-0.6% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
3,000 |
0.987 |
$2,959.52 |
$79.50 |
+2.8% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
5,300 |
0.264 |
$1,396.54 |
$-314.29 |
-18.4% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
1,200 |
1.000 |
$1,199.40 |
$215.40 |
+21.9% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
3,300 |
0.353 |
$1,166.62 |
$-105.56 |
-8.3% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.555 |
$1,109.99 |
$160.01 |
+16.8% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
1,000 |
1.000 |
$999.50 |
$139.50 |
+16.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
1,248 |
0.675 |
$842.54 |
$-13.45 |
-1.6% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
800 |
0.978 |
$782.00 |
$8.40 |
+1.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
5,000 |
0.135 |
$675.03 |
$-75.00 |
-10.0% |
| Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
624 |
0.974 |
$608.22 |
$33.72 |
+5.9% |
| Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
600 |
0.934 |
$560.64 |
$30.90 |
+5.8% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.375 |
$374.99 |
$55.00 |
+17.2% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
600 |
0.525 |
$315.00 |
$57.00 |
+22.1% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
200 |
0.786 |
$157.30 |
$-32.26 |
-17.0% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? |
No |
150 |
0.635 |
$95.25 |
$2.25 |
+2.4% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
217 |
0.260 |
$56.42 |
$-80.29 |
-58.7% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
Yes |
200 |
0.210 |
$42.00 |
$-31.50 |
-42.9% |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
No |
201 |
0.027 |
$5.43 |
$-50.04 |
-90.2% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
500 |
0.001 |
$0.25 |
$-102.51 |
-99.8% |