| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
30,000 |
0.790 |
$23,715.00 |
$8,715.00 |
+58.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
30,000 |
0.209 |
$6,285.01 |
$-8,714.98 |
-58.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
7,000 |
0.865 |
$6,055.00 |
$595.00 |
+10.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
12,412 |
0.375 |
$4,654.41 |
$-879.75 |
-15.9% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
No |
4,085 |
0.957 |
$3,908.88 |
$452.94 |
+13.1% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
4,000 |
0.875 |
$3,500.00 |
$20.00 |
+0.6% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
3,000 |
0.987 |
$2,959.52 |
$79.50 |
+2.8% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
5,300 |
0.261 |
$1,380.64 |
$-330.19 |
-19.3% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
3,300 |
0.357 |
$1,178.18 |
$-94.01 |
-7.4% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
1,200 |
0.966 |
$1,158.60 |
$174.60 |
+17.7% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.555 |
$1,109.99 |
$160.01 |
+16.8% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
1,000 |
0.965 |
$964.50 |
$104.50 |
+12.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
1,248 |
0.675 |
$842.54 |
$-13.45 |
-1.6% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
800 |
0.977 |
$781.60 |
$8.00 |
+1.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
5,000 |
0.135 |
$675.03 |
$-75.00 |
-10.0% |
| Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
624 |
0.974 |
$608.22 |
$33.72 |
+5.9% |
| Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
600 |
0.946 |
$567.24 |
$37.50 |
+7.1% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.375 |
$374.99 |
$55.00 |
+17.2% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
600 |
0.515 |
$309.00 |
$51.00 |
+19.8% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
200 |
0.786 |
$157.30 |
$-32.26 |
-17.0% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? |
No |
150 |
0.635 |
$95.25 |
$2.25 |
+2.4% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
217 |
0.260 |
$56.42 |
$-80.29 |
-58.7% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
Yes |
200 |
0.225 |
$45.00 |
$-28.50 |
-38.8% |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
No |
201 |
0.034 |
$6.83 |
$-48.63 |
-87.7% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
500 |
0.004 |
$2.00 |
$-100.76 |
-98.1% |