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Trader leaderboard/asherno

asherno

0x977c2681b22379a78e2b01c3de32a70338144160
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$6
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
97%
36W / 1L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
95%
37W / 2L
Trades (30d)
39
across 39 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$0.16
avg win $0 · loss $7
Profit Factor
1.85
$13 won / $7 lost
Reward / Risk
0.05
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $428 · all-time $28,743

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 85.9% 905W/148L 1019 $6,640
⚽ Sports 88.2% 30W/4L 34 $169
💵 Economy 84.6% 11W/2L 23 $116
₿ Crypto 100.0% 14W/0L 21 $105
🎬 Culture 100.0% 14W/0L 16 $80
🏛 Politics 100.0% 12W/0L 15 $75
🌤 Weather 100.0% 7W/0L 7 $35
🤖 Tech 100.0% 3W/0L 4 $20

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

31 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? Yes 5 1.000 $5.31 $0.32 +6.3%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? Yes 5 0.999 $5.30 $0.31 +6.2%
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting? Yes 5 0.997 $5.23 $0.24 +4.9%
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 6? No 5 0.967 $5.18 $0.20 +4.0%
Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? No 5 0.972 $5.16 $0.17 +3.3%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 Week of August 3 2026? No 5 0.994 $5.15 $0.16 +3.2%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 3, 2026? No 5 1.000 $5.15 $0.15 +3.0%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of August 3 2026? No 5 0.980 $5.14 $0.16 +3.2%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? No 5 0.994 $5.12 $0.13 +2.5%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? No 5 0.991 $5.10 $0.11 +2.1%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? No 5 0.989 $5.07 $0.07 +1.5%
Will "Petal - Ariana Grande" be the #1 song this week? No 5 0.995 $5.06 $0.09 +1.7%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $457.50 Week of August 3 2026? No 5 0.960 $5.04 $0.05 +1.1%
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting? No 5 0.988 $5.03 $0.05 +1.0%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? Yes 5 0.986 $5.02 $0.04 +0.7%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? No 5 0.982 $5.02 $0.03 +0.6%
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? Yes 5 0.979 $4.98 $-0.00 -0.1%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026? No 5 0.965 $4.97 $-0.03 -0.5%
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #1 US song this week? No 5 0.946 $4.96 $-0.02 -0.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of August 3 2026? No 5 0.955 $4.96 $-0.03 -0.6%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of August 3 2026? No 5 0.955 $4.96 $-0.03 -0.6%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $550 Week of August 3 2026? No 5 0.920 $4.88 $-0.11 -2.1%
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #1 song this week? Yes 5 0.915 $4.85 $-0.13 -2.7%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of August 3 above $90? Yes 5 0.920 $4.83 $-0.16 -3.2%
Will Trump's Las Vegas remarks be between 40 and 50 minutes long? No 5 0.915 $4.70 $-0.28 -5.7%