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Trader leaderboard/asherno

asherno

0x977c2681b22379a78e2b01c3de32a70338144160
PnL (30d)
−$158
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$5
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
86%
905W / 148L · 33 open
Win Return (30d)
85%
923W / 163L
Trades (30d)
1,086
across 1,019 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.16
avg win $1 · loss $6
Profit Factor
0.76
$493 won / $650 lost
Reward / Risk
0.10
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$54
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $428 · all-time $28,743

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 85.9% 905W/148L 1019 $6,640
⚽ Sports 84.9% 45W/8L 51 $439
₿ Crypto 93.8% 15W/1L 23 $127
💵 Economy 84.6% 11W/2L 23 $116
🎬 Culture 100.0% 15W/0L 17 $98
🏛 Politics 100.0% 13W/0L 16 $93
🌤 Weather 100.0% 7W/0L 7 $35
🤖 Tech 100.0% 3W/0L 4 $20

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

31 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? Yes 5 1.000 $5.31 $0.32 +6.3%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? Yes 5 0.999 $5.30 $0.31 +6.2%
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting? Yes 5 0.997 $5.23 $0.24 +4.9%
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 6? No 5 0.966 $5.17 $0.19 +3.8%
Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? No 5 0.971 $5.16 $0.16 +3.3%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 3, 2026? No 5 1.000 $5.15 $0.15 +3.0%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 Week of August 3 2026? No 5 0.994 $5.15 $0.16 +3.2%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of August 3 2026? No 5 0.980 $5.14 $0.16 +3.2%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? No 5 0.993 $5.11 $0.12 +2.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of August 3 2026? No 5 0.980 $5.10 $0.10 +2.1%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of August 3 2026? No 5 0.979 $5.09 $0.10 +2.0%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? No 5 0.985 $5.07 $0.07 +1.5%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? No 5 0.988 $5.07 $0.07 +1.4%
Will "Petal - Ariana Grande" be the #1 song this week? No 5 0.995 $5.06 $0.08 +1.7%
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting? No 5 0.988 $5.03 $0.05 +1.0%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? Yes 5 0.986 $5.02 $0.04 +0.7%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? No 5 0.982 $5.02 $0.03 +0.6%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026? No 5 0.971 $5.00 $0.00 +0.1%
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #1 US song this week? No 5 0.946 $4.96 $-0.02 -0.5%
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? Yes 5 0.975 $4.96 $-0.02 -0.4%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $457.50 Week of August 3 2026? No 5 0.940 $4.93 $-0.05 -1.1%
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #1 song this week? Yes 5 0.925 $4.90 $-0.08 -1.6%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $550 Week of August 3 2026? No 5 0.920 $4.88 $-0.11 -2.1%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of August 3 above $90? Yes 5 0.920 $4.83 $-0.16 -3.2%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of August 3 2026? No 5 0.901 $4.71 $-0.28 -5.7%