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Trader leaderboard/TheMangler

TheMangler

0x9703676286b93c2eca71ca96e8757104519a69c2
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$53,524
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$117
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
58%
12,509W / 9,034L · 706 open
Win Return (30d)
59%
13,021W / 9,207L · 21 open
Trades (30d)
22,249
across 1,034 markets · ~22 per market
EV / position
+$54.17
avg win $2,030 · loss $1,874
Profit Factor
1.06
$990,496 won / $936,972 lost
Reward / Risk
1.08
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$57,212
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,783,585 · all-time $121,736,187

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 54.7% 17,580W/14,537L 1372 $4,306,949
⚽ Sports 54.6% 2,566W/2,130L 411 $864,253
🏛 Politics 25 $10,785

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 67,493 0.278 $18,729.25 $15,148.22 +423.0%
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? Yes 32,787 0.395 $12,950.76 $6,793.11 +110.3%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 93,718 0.135 $12,605.09 $11,872.96 +1621.7%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 81,758 0.146 $11,977.59 $11,338.89 +1775.3%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 60,870 0.184 $11,230.45 $581.67 +5.5%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 16,879 0.515 $8,692.68 $84.39 +1.0%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 84,422 0.090 $7,640.20 $6,980.69 +1058.5%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 48,555 0.143 $6,967.58 $5,053.22 +264.0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 68,533 0.086 $5,859.53 $5,324.16 +994.5%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 50,206 0.117 $5,848.96 $5,456.75 +1391.3%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 12,202 0.460 $5,607.01 $2,546.61 +83.2%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 83,836 0.052 $4,401.39 $3,602.43 +450.9%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 29,037 0.135 $3,919.96 $459.04 +13.3%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 77,853 0.049 $3,814.79 $3,205.20 +525.8%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 40,611 0.088 $3,594.08 $3,260.91 +978.7%
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? Yes 31,503 0.095 $2,992.78 $383.11 +14.7%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 114,867 0.025 $2,917.61 $1,828.22 +167.8%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 117,211 0.022 $2,637.24 $1,721.59 +188.0%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes 21,236 0.115 $2,442.19 $-1,843.64 -43.0%
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 3,846 0.595 $2,288.40 $71.77 +3.2%
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series? Yes 10,265 0.215 $2,207.08 $842.06 +61.7%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 71,850 0.029 $2,119.57 $1,558.28 +277.6%
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? Yes 9,967 0.191 $1,903.72 $1,245.62 +189.3%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 76,120 0.025 $1,864.95 $1,240.91 +198.9%
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics Dallas Wings 3,081 0.565 $1,740.27 $-29.73 -1.7%