PnL (30d)

+$176,076

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$910

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+4.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

55%

17,580W / 14,537L · 7,559 open

Win Return (30d)

61%

24,269W / 15,386L · 21 open

Trades (30d)

39,676

across 1,372 markets · ~29 per market

EV / position

+$138.97

avg win $2,272 · loss $1,880

Profit Factor

1.14

$1,399,760 won / $1,223,684 lost

Reward / Risk

1.21

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$50,269

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	54.7% 17,580W/14,537L	1372	$4,306,949
⚽ Sports	54.6% 2,566W/2,130L	411	$864,253
🏛 Politics	—	25	$10,785

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	67,493	0.278	$18,729.25	$15,148.22	+423.0%
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	32,787	0.395	$12,950.76	$6,793.11	+110.3%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	93,718	0.135	$12,605.09	$11,872.96	+1621.7%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	81,758	0.146	$11,977.59	$11,338.89	+1775.3%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	60,870	0.184	$11,230.45	$581.67	+5.5%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox	Atlanta Braves	16,879	0.515	$8,692.68	$84.39	+1.0%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	84,422	0.090	$7,640.20	$6,980.69	+1058.5%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	48,555	0.143	$6,967.58	$5,053.22	+264.0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	68,533	0.086	$5,859.53	$5,324.16	+994.5%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50,206	0.117	$5,848.96	$5,456.75	+1391.3%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	12,202	0.460	$5,607.01	$2,546.61	+83.2%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	83,836	0.052	$4,401.39	$3,602.43	+450.9%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	29,037	0.135	$3,919.96	$459.04	+13.3%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	77,853	0.049	$3,814.79	$3,205.20	+525.8%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	40,611	0.088	$3,594.08	$3,260.91	+978.7%
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	31,503	0.095	$2,992.78	$383.11	+14.7%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	114,867	0.025	$2,917.61	$1,828.22	+167.8%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	117,211	0.022	$2,637.24	$1,721.59	+188.0%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	21,236	0.115	$2,442.19	$-1,843.64	-43.0%
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3,846	0.595	$2,288.40	$71.77	+3.2%
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Yes	10,265	0.215	$2,207.08	$842.06	+61.7%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	71,850	0.029	$2,119.57	$1,558.28	+277.6%
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Yes	9,967	0.193	$1,923.66	$1,265.56	+192.3%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	76,120	0.025	$1,864.95	$1,240.91	+198.9%
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics	Dallas Wings	3,081	0.575	$1,771.39	$1.38	+0.1%