| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
55,932 |
0.865 |
$48,380.81 |
$3,120.87 |
+6.9% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
60,000 |
0.790 |
$47,430.00 |
$17,430.00 |
+58.1% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
46,737 |
0.865 |
$40,427.34 |
$1,778.80 |
+4.6% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
37,535 |
0.675 |
$25,336.29 |
$5,007.84 |
+24.6% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
25,469 |
0.980 |
$24,946.57 |
$-53.41 |
-0.2% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
21,454 |
0.850 |
$18,224.82 |
$1,426.15 |
+8.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
21,238 |
0.835 |
$17,734.05 |
$2,734.29 |
+18.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
18,460 |
0.959 |
$17,693.87 |
$193.98 |
+1.1% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
16,182 |
0.987 |
$15,971.19 |
$971.27 |
+6.5% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
14,516 |
0.987 |
$14,320.31 |
$943.72 |
+7.1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
14,045 |
0.935 |
$13,132.00 |
$632.02 |
+5.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
60,000 |
0.209 |
$12,570.00 |
$-17,430.00 |
-58.1% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
11,905 |
0.455 |
$5,416.67 |
$416.67 |
+8.3% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
12,500 |
0.405 |
$5,062.50 |
$62.50 |
+1.2% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
No |
5,606 |
0.875 |
$4,905.00 |
$196.20 |
+4.2% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? |
No |
8,421 |
0.440 |
$3,705.19 |
$-1,316.98 |
-26.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
5,503 |
0.615 |
$3,384.42 |
$302.67 |
+9.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
2,500 |
0.695 |
$1,737.24 |
$602.25 |
+53.1% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.855 |
$1,282.50 |
$-7.50 |
-0.6% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.400 |
$800.00 |
$-320.00 |
-28.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? |
No |
953 |
0.550 |
$524.42 |
$-47.67 |
-8.3% |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE? |
No |
500 |
0.941 |
$470.25 |
$-16.75 |
-3.4% |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU? |
No |
345 |
0.970 |
$334.05 |
$-2.24 |
-0.7% |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? |
No |
304 |
0.880 |
$267.32 |
$50.27 |
+23.2% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
No |
201 |
0.989 |
$198.31 |
$15.75 |
+8.6% |