| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
55,932 |
0.865 |
$48,380.81 |
$3,120.87 |
+6.9% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
60,000 |
0.790 |
$47,430.00 |
$17,430.00 |
+58.1% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
46,737 |
0.865 |
$40,427.34 |
$1,778.80 |
+4.6% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
37,535 |
0.675 |
$25,336.29 |
$5,007.84 |
+24.6% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
25,469 |
0.985 |
$25,073.91 |
$73.94 |
+0.3% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
21,454 |
0.853 |
$18,289.19 |
$1,490.51 |
+8.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
21,238 |
0.845 |
$17,946.44 |
$2,946.68 |
+19.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
18,460 |
0.962 |
$17,749.25 |
$249.36 |
+1.4% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
16,182 |
0.987 |
$15,963.10 |
$963.17 |
+6.4% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
14,516 |
0.987 |
$14,320.31 |
$943.72 |
+7.1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
14,045 |
0.935 |
$13,132.00 |
$632.02 |
+5.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
60,000 |
0.209 |
$12,570.00 |
$-17,430.00 |
-58.1% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
11,905 |
0.455 |
$5,416.67 |
$416.67 |
+8.3% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
No |
5,606 |
0.885 |
$4,961.06 |
$252.26 |
+5.4% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
12,500 |
0.395 |
$4,937.50 |
$-62.50 |
-1.2% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? |
No |
8,421 |
0.420 |
$3,536.77 |
$-1,485.40 |
-29.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
5,503 |
0.615 |
$3,384.42 |
$302.67 |
+9.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
2,500 |
0.715 |
$1,787.49 |
$652.50 |
+57.5% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.845 |
$1,267.50 |
$-22.50 |
-1.7% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.370 |
$740.00 |
$-380.00 |
-33.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? |
No |
953 |
0.550 |
$524.42 |
$-47.67 |
-8.3% |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE? |
No |
500 |
0.935 |
$467.50 |
$-19.50 |
-4.0% |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU? |
No |
345 |
0.970 |
$334.22 |
$-2.07 |
-0.6% |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? |
No |
304 |
0.880 |
$267.32 |
$50.27 |
+23.2% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
No |
201 |
0.990 |
$198.51 |
$15.95 |
+8.7% |