PnL (30d)

+$267

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$74

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+13.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

67%

10W / 5L · 15 open

Win Return (30d)

60%

18W / 12L

Trades (30d)

30

across 21 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

+$24.30

avg win $62 · loss $21

Profit Factor

3.51

$374 won / $107 lost

Reward / Risk

2.92

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	37.3% 31W/52L	82	$5,406
💵 Economy	100.0% 4W/0L	5	$714

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

45 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	500	0.971	$485.49	$75.49	+18.4%
Tabi FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	500	0.875	$437.60	$396.30	+959.7%
Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	409	0.972	$397.65	$37.65	+10.5%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	680	0.455	$309.60	$13.33	+4.5%
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $725B by August 31?	No	301	0.970	$292.22	$-7.78	-2.6%
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $600B by August 31?	No	314	0.875	$274.52	$34.02	+14.1%
Tabi FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	250	0.905	$226.10	$48.18	+27.1%
Tabi FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	244	0.910	$221.99	$91.99	+70.8%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	429	0.505	$216.45	$-26.94	-11.1%
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?	Yes	389	0.515	$200.36	$-22.20	-10.0%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by August 31?	Yes	203	0.905	$183.82	$28.82	+18.6%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	219	0.724	$158.49	$25.49	+19.2%
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by August 31?	Yes	184	0.820	$150.59	$102.59	+213.7%
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	408	0.365	$148.96	$-122.39	-45.1%
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31?	Yes	252	0.505	$127.50	$40.50	+46.6%
Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	123	0.910	$111.96	$16.96	+17.9%
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau?	Yes	146	0.665	$97.24	$-2.76	-2.8%
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by August 31?	No	106	0.869	$91.63	$16.63	+22.2%
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by August 31?	No	105	0.810	$84.85	$44.15	+108.5%
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.75B by August 31?	Yes	160	0.520	$83.15	$9.59	+13.0%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?	Yes	159	0.505	$80.34	$45.34	+129.5%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	Yes	86	0.665	$57.19	$-3.01	-5.0%
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k?	Yes	195	0.280	$54.59	$19.59	+56.0%
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?	Yes	153	0.340	$52.09	$-22.91	-30.5%
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	146	0.350	$51.07	$36.07	+240.4%