PnL (30d)

+$623

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$229

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+14.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

37%

31W / 52L · 43 open

Win Return (30d)

46%

57W / 68L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

126

across 82 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$11.32

avg win $54 · loss $19

Profit Factor

2.00

$1,243 won / $620 lost

Reward / Risk

2.79

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	37.3% 31W/52L	82	$5,406
💵 Economy	100.0% 4W/0L	5	$714

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

45 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	500	0.971	$485.49	$75.49	+18.4%
Tabi FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	500	0.875	$437.60	$396.30	+959.7%
Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	409	0.970	$396.62	$36.62	+10.2%
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $725B by August 31?	No	301	0.970	$292.22	$-7.78	-2.6%
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $600B by August 31?	No	314	0.875	$274.52	$34.02	+14.1%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	680	0.365	$248.36	$-47.91	-16.2%
Tabi FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	250	0.905	$226.10	$48.18	+27.1%
Tabi FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	244	0.870	$212.23	$82.23	+63.3%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	429	0.460	$197.16	$-46.23	-19.0%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by August 31?	Yes	203	0.905	$183.82	$28.82	+18.6%
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?	Yes	389	0.455	$177.01	$-45.54	-20.5%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	219	0.712	$155.76	$22.76	+17.1%
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	408	0.365	$148.96	$-122.39	-45.1%
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by August 31?	Yes	184	0.770	$141.41	$93.41	+194.6%
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31?	Yes	252	0.505	$127.50	$40.50	+46.6%
Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	123	0.900	$110.73	$15.73	+16.6%
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau?	Yes	146	0.665	$97.24	$-2.76	-2.8%
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by August 31?	No	106	0.838	$88.41	$13.41	+17.9%
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.75B by August 31?	Yes	160	0.550	$87.95	$14.39	+19.6%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?	Yes	159	0.505	$80.34	$45.34	+129.5%
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by August 31?	No	105	0.740	$77.52	$36.82	+90.5%
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k?	Yes	195	0.310	$60.43	$25.43	+72.7%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	Yes	86	0.645	$55.47	$-4.73	-7.9%
Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	66	0.794	$52.58	$8.01	+18.0%
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?	Yes	153	0.340	$52.09	$-22.91	-30.5%