PnL (30d)

+$1

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$26

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

100%

2W / 0L · 19 open

Win Return (30d)

75%

15W / 5L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

21

across 10 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$0.55

avg win $1

Profit Factor

∞

no losses yet

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	90.0% 27W/3L	81	$19,273
💵 Economy	—	19	$1,416
₿ Crypto	—	12	$1,073
🏛 Politics	—	6	$87

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

137 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	3,658	0.855	$3,127.39	$132.95	+4.4%
US recession by end of 2026?	No	1,667	0.905	$1,508.20	$114.41	+8.2%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	No	817	0.855	$698.77	$60.33	+9.4%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	551	0.967	$532.53	$14.04	+2.7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in August?	No	254	0.994	$252.48	$1.27	+0.5%
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	237	0.915	$216.93	$3.03	+1.4%
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	200	0.920	$184.24	$14.57	+8.6%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	203	0.885	$179.99	$6.12	+3.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	150	0.915	$137.25	$1.75	+1.3%
ECB rate cut in 2026?	No	149	0.910	$135.40	$7.59	+5.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	151	0.885	$133.43	$5.58	+4.4%
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	No	126	0.925	$116.64	$3.88	+3.4%
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.0% and 1.2%?	No	106	0.998	$105.33	$5.10	+5.1%
Will EUR/USD hit 1.30 (High) in 2026?	No	110	0.935	$102.64	$6.05	+6.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	110	0.925	$101.84	$6.66	+7.0%
Will EUR/USD hit 1.26 (High) in 2026?	No	109	0.917	$100.30	$14.70	+17.2%
Tom Lee charged by December 31?	No	100	0.955	$95.50	$3.62	+3.9%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?	No	105	0.875	$91.88	$0.69	+0.8%
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	100	0.875	$87.30	$1.19	+1.4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?	No	90	0.934	$83.68	$-3.38	-3.9%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?	No	87	0.949	$82.77	$3.64	+4.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in August?	No	80	1.000	$79.96	$0.76	+1.0%
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	No	103	0.775	$79.57	$8.27	+11.6%
Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?	No	82	0.910	$74.35	$11.44	+18.2%
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	75	0.975	$73.09	$2.24	+3.2%