PnL (30d)

−$7

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$8

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

90%

27W / 3L · 200 open

Win Return (30d)

58%

133W / 96L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

230

across 81 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$0.48

avg win $1 · loss $5

Profit Factor

0.52

$8 won / $15 lost

Reward / Risk

0.13

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$0

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	90.0% 27W/3L	81	$19,273
💵 Economy	—	20	$1,606
₿ Crypto	—	12	$1,165
🏛 Politics	—	7	$177

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

137 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	3,658	0.855	$3,127.39	$132.95	+4.4%
US recession by end of 2026?	No	1,667	0.920	$1,533.20	$139.41	+10.0%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	No	817	0.860	$702.85	$64.42	+10.1%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	551	0.968	$533.08	$14.59	+2.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in August?	No	254	0.993	$252.22	$1.02	+0.4%
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	237	0.915	$216.93	$3.03	+1.4%
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	200	0.920	$184.24	$14.57	+8.6%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	203	0.885	$179.99	$6.12	+3.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	150	0.915	$137.25	$1.75	+1.3%
ECB rate cut in 2026?	No	149	0.910	$135.40	$7.59	+5.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	151	0.885	$133.43	$5.58	+4.4%
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	No	126	0.925	$116.64	$3.88	+3.4%
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.0% and 1.2%?	No	106	0.998	$105.33	$5.10	+5.1%
Will EUR/USD hit 1.30 (High) in 2026?	No	110	0.935	$102.64	$6.05	+6.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	110	0.925	$101.84	$6.66	+7.0%
Will EUR/USD hit 1.26 (High) in 2026?	No	109	0.917	$100.25	$14.65	+17.1%
Tom Lee charged by December 31?	No	100	0.945	$94.50	$2.62	+2.9%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?	No	105	0.875	$91.88	$0.69	+0.8%
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	100	0.875	$87.30	$1.19	+1.4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?	No	90	0.938	$84.04	$-3.03	-3.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?	No	87	0.949	$82.72	$3.60	+4.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in August?	No	80	1.000	$79.96	$0.76	+1.0%
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	No	103	0.770	$79.06	$7.75	+10.9%
Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?	No	82	0.915	$74.76	$11.85	+18.8%
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	75	0.974	$73.05	$2.20	+3.1%