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Trader leaderboard/0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F

0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F

0x9495d622ab74a601ad1668d3dd4f7a2e68c3468f
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$921
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1,799
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
20%
137W / 558L · 659 open
Win Return (30d)
12%
150W / 1,123L · 81 open
Trades (30d)
1,354
across 205 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$8.94
avg win $1 · loss $11
Profit Factor
0.02
$18 won / $939 lost
Reward / Risk
0.08
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$171
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $135,277 · all-time $15,225,708

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 16.6% 1,295W/6,499L 2213 $697,188
🏛 Politics 43.8% 35W/45L 156 $29,205
💵 Economy 10.8% 7W/58L 89 $13,610
⚽ Sports 53.8% 42W/36L 71 $14,346
🎬 Culture 4.8% 4W/79L 70 $15,450
🤖 Tech 22.9% 11W/37L 41 $9,003
₿ Crypto 29.4% 5W/12L 24 $12,803
🔬 Science 3 $337

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

125 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 1,834 0.075 $137.55 $-27.51 -16.7%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31? No 126 0.830 $104.58 $-1.26 -1.2%
Will the Lions win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes 432 0.235 $101.52 $-28.08 -21.7%
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? No 136 0.715 $97.33 $-0.68 -0.7%
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? No 1,398 0.055 $76.89 $-34.95 -31.2%
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? No 67 0.845 $56.62 $-3.02 -5.1%
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No 166 0.340 $56.40 $-41.47 -42.4%
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No 78 0.705 $54.99 $-4.29 -7.2%
Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? Yes 198 0.275 $54.45 $-0.99 -1.8%
Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? No 240 0.225 $54.00 $-18.00 -25.0%
Will Arch Network launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes 178 0.290 $51.67 $-17.82 -25.6%
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? Yes 100 0.445 $44.50 $-15.50 -25.8%
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? No 75 0.570 $42.74 $-1.51 -3.4%
Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election? No 291 0.145 $42.26 $-18.94 -31.0%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? Yes 204 0.203 $41.49 $-18.28 -30.6%
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary? No 63 0.625 $39.64 $-5.39 -12.0%
Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections? No 58 0.685 $39.61 $-6.07 -13.3%
Will the season series between the Bills and Jets end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes 109 0.335 $36.51 $-11.44 -23.9%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? Yes 62 0.570 $35.36 $-6.83 -16.2%
Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat? Yes 401 0.080 $32.05 $-8.01 -20.0%
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026? No 41 0.779 $31.83 $-4.47 -12.3%
Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by September 7, 2026? Yes 55 0.510 $28.05 $-13.75 -32.9%
Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August? No 197 0.135 $26.59 $-26.59 -50.0%
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes 165 0.145 $23.92 $-12.38 -34.1%
Will The Oscars win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)? No 30 0.725 $21.75 $-0.93 -4.1%