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Trader leaderboard/0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F

0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F

0x9495d622ab74a601ad1668d3dd4f7a2e68c3468f
PnL (30d)
−$11,849
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$17,150
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
17%
1,295W / 6,485L · 8,629 open
Win Return (30d)
14%
2,135W / 13,348L · 926 open
Trades (30d)
16,409
across 2,213 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$13.65
avg win $2 · loss $17
Profit Factor
0.03
$400 won / $12,249 lost
Reward / Risk
0.14
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$950
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $131,204 · all-time $15,222,573

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 16.6% 1,295W/6,485L 2213 $697,188
🏛 Politics 50.9% 56W/54L 175 $39,237
💵 Economy 25.9% 22W/63L 97 $23,451
🎬 Culture 10.2% 10W/88L 81 $17,897
⚽ Sports 55.3% 57W/46L 75 $15,529
🤖 Tech 20.3% 12W/47L 47 $11,251
₿ Crypto 22.7% 5W/17L 25 $13,743
🔬 Science 3 $337

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

133 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 1,834 0.075 $137.55 $-27.51 -16.7%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31? No 126 0.830 $104.58 $-1.26 -1.2%
Will the Lions win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes 432 0.235 $101.52 $-28.08 -21.7%
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? No 136 0.715 $97.33 $-0.68 -0.7%
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? No 1,398 0.055 $76.89 $-34.95 -31.2%
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No 176 0.350 $61.56 $-42.21 -40.7%
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? No 67 0.845 $56.62 $-3.02 -5.1%
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No 78 0.710 $55.38 $-3.90 -6.6%
Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? Yes 198 0.275 $54.45 $-0.99 -1.8%
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027? No 79 0.682 $54.09 $-3.37 -5.9%
Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? No 240 0.225 $54.00 $-18.00 -25.0%
Will Arch Network launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes 178 0.300 $53.45 $-16.04 -23.1%
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? Yes 100 0.445 $44.50 $-15.50 -25.8%
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary? No 69 0.625 $43.05 $-5.86 -12.0%
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? No 75 0.570 $42.74 $-1.51 -3.4%
Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election? No 291 0.145 $42.26 $-18.94 -31.0%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? Yes 204 0.203 $41.49 $-18.28 -30.6%
Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections? No 58 0.685 $39.61 $-6.07 -13.3%
Will the season series between the Bills and Jets end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes 109 0.335 $36.51 $-11.44 -23.9%
Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat? Yes 401 0.080 $32.05 $-8.01 -20.0%
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026? No 41 0.779 $31.83 $-4.47 -12.3%
Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August? No 197 0.150 $29.55 $-23.64 -44.4%
Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by September 7, 2026? Yes 56 0.510 $28.56 $-14.00 -32.9%
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes 165 0.145 $23.92 $-12.38 -34.1%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No 34 0.680 $23.12 $-0.34 -1.4%