PnL (30d)

+$3

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$8

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

80%

214W / 52L · 94 open

Win Return (30d)

81%

291W / 68L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

360

across 79 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$0.06

avg win $1 · loss $4

Profit Factor

1.06

$55 won / $52 lost

Reward / Risk

0.29

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$12

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	80.5% 214W/52L	79	$1,098
🎬 Culture	—	5	$66
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/9L	3	$32
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/9L	3	$32
🏛 Politics	—	1	$6

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Squid FDV above $100M one day after launch	No	13	0.435	$5.58	$0.58	+11.5%
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?	Yes	52	0.086	$4.43	$-5.57	-55.7%
Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	43	0.069	$2.94	$-0.41	-12.2%
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026?	Yes	31	0.029	$0.91	$-4.09	-81.9%
Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by August 31?	Yes	5	0.046	$0.23	$-0.13	-35.4%
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	15	0.015	$0.23	$-0.62	-72.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?	Yes	6	0.015	$0.08	$-0.53	-86.4%