romanew-5-15p
0x93e2ba92f5148827725df5ed936c0952e72092b9
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$7
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+9.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
94%
32W / 2L · 26 open
Win Return (30d)
90%
53W / 6L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
60
across 10 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$1.12
avg win $2 · loss $5
Profit Factor
2.34
$12 won / $5 lost
Reward / Risk
0.47
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,160 · all-time $105,171
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
52 |
0.086 |
$4.43 |
$-5.57 |
-55.7% |
| Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
43 |
0.068 |
$2.92 |
$-0.43 |
-12.8% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
31 |
0.029 |
$0.91 |
$-4.09 |
-81.9% |
| Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by August 31? |
Yes |
5 |
0.046 |
$0.23 |
$-0.13 |
-35.4% |
| Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
15 |
0.015 |
$0.23 |
$-0.62 |
-72.8% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? |
Yes |
6 |
0.015 |
$0.08 |
$-0.54 |
-86.8% |