| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
3,000 |
0.885 |
$2,655.15 |
$244.41 |
+10.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,780 |
0.775 |
$1,379.50 |
$59.93 |
+4.5% |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,200 |
0.740 |
$888.00 |
$229.32 |
+34.8% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,030 |
0.560 |
$576.79 |
$-21.74 |
-3.6% |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? |
No |
1,138 |
0.435 |
$495.19 |
$-53.71 |
-9.8% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? |
Yes |
834 |
0.585 |
$488.09 |
$75.09 |
+18.2% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? |
No |
525 |
0.900 |
$472.60 |
$46.26 |
+10.9% |
| Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? |
No |
535 |
0.845 |
$451.95 |
$71.67 |
+18.8% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
505 |
0.735 |
$370.98 |
$36.68 |
+11.0% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
800 |
0.415 |
$332.00 |
$112.88 |
+51.5% |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? |
No |
535 |
0.570 |
$305.02 |
$-7.76 |
-2.5% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,489 |
0.200 |
$297.79 |
$19.64 |
+7.1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by August 31, 2026? |
No |
309 |
0.943 |
$291.69 |
$7.11 |
+2.5% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.545 |
$272.51 |
$38.97 |
+16.7% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? |
No |
391 |
0.630 |
$246.33 |
$31.70 |
+14.8% |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,035 |
0.230 |
$238.05 |
$15.48 |
+7.0% |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? |
Yes |
641 |
0.350 |
$224.35 |
$47.19 |
+26.6% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
825 |
0.270 |
$222.75 |
$-6.42 |
-2.8% |
| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
550 |
0.375 |
$206.24 |
$54.25 |
+35.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
450 |
0.455 |
$204.75 |
$-12.50 |
-5.8% |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31? |
No |
241 |
0.825 |
$198.70 |
$20.77 |
+11.7% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? |
Yes |
270 |
0.725 |
$195.45 |
$47.03 |
+31.7% |
| Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31? |
No |
271 |
0.715 |
$193.76 |
$51.52 |
+36.2% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
459 |
0.405 |
$185.98 |
$-12.72 |
-6.4% |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? |
No |
190 |
0.963 |
$183.13 |
$8.58 |
+4.9% |