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Trader leaderboard/cobaltharborfmz

cobaltharborfmz

0x91d757346e322976a9544dd07b9b7e3f58550dfc
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$14,041
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$909
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-6.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
45%
1,051W / 1,283L · 46 open
Win Return (30d)
45%
1,068W / 1,305L · 7 open
Trades (30d)
2,380
across 793 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$17.93
avg win $107 · loss $91
Profit Factor
0.69
$30,951 won / $44,992 lost
Reward / Risk
1.18
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2,503
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $239,810 · all-time $4,491,795

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 45.1% 4,722W/5,740L 3294 $804,781
⚽ Sports 42.3% 270W/368L 272 $62,945
₿ Crypto 40.3% 234W/347L 186 $22,650
🌤 Weather 15.0% 6W/34L 15 $306
🎬 Culture 48.1% 37W/40L 13 $7,402
💵 Economy 34.5% 20W/38L 10 $21,154
🏛 Politics 42.1% 16W/22L 3 $20,786
🤖 Tech 1 $28

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

196 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 5,336 0.595 $3,174.89 $506.92 +19.0%
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs BetBoom Team 3,928 0.755 $2,965.64 $1,001.64 +51.0%
LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs Zeu5 Esports 2,660 0.845 $2,247.70 $-196.66 -8.0%
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 5,336 0.405 $2,161.06 $-506.92 -19.0%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group Nongshim Red Force 2,682 0.455 $1,220.31 $-435.59 -26.3%
Rippling IPO before 2027? No 564 0.875 $493.90 $493.90 +0.0%
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 516 0.930 $480.06 $480.06 +0.0%
Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No 516 0.863 $445.31 $445.31 +0.0%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group Dplus KIA Challengers 382 0.997 $380.75 $20.55 +5.7%
Will Rihanna have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No 315 0.681 $214.49 $214.49 +0.0%
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? No 200 0.940 $187.44 $187.44 +0.0%
Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage FOKUS Sakura 222 0.815 $180.86 $-3.35 -1.8%
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? No 283 0.615 $173.90 $173.90 +0.0%
Will SZA have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No 325 0.505 $164.30 $164.30 +0.0%
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No 234 0.595 $139.23 $139.23 +0.0%
Will Tyler, The Creator have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No 174 0.790 $137.21 $137.21 +0.0%
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? Yes 3,865 0.029 $114.02 $114.02 +0.0%
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 467 0.240 $111.98 $111.98 +0.0%
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 125 0.865 $108.11 $108.11 +0.0%
Will Justin Bieber release an album in 2026? No 181 0.595 $107.69 $107.69 +0.0%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 389 0.260 $100.91 $100.91 +0.0%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes 1,207 0.065 $78.45 $78.45 +0.0%
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No 92 0.805 $73.80 $73.80 +0.0%
Will Luke Combs have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No 91 0.810 $73.71 $73.71 +0.0%
Will Arthur Hayes appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? No 75 0.930 $69.75 $69.75 +0.0%