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Trader leaderboard/cobaltharborfmz

cobaltharborfmz

0x91d757346e322976a9544dd07b9b7e3f58550dfc
PnL (30d)
+$9,579
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$337
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
45%
4,713W / 5,735L · 98 open
Win Return (30d)
45%
4,743W / 5,775L · 28 open
Trades (30d)
10,546
across 3,269 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$2.96
avg win $134 · loss $66
Profit Factor
1.07
$149,369 won / $139,790 lost
Reward / Risk
2.03
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4,802
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $229,503 · all-time $4,481,488

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 45.1% 4,713W/5,735L 3269 $800,483
⚽ Sports 42.6% 278W/374L 275 $60,784
₿ Crypto 40.6% 256W/375L 195 $24,804
🌤 Weather 15.0% 6W/34L 15 $306
🎬 Culture 43.5% 37W/48L 13 $7,776
💵 Economy 71.0% 44W/18L 10 $24,105
🏛 Politics 100.0% 40W/0L 3 $23,622
🤖 Tech 1 $28

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

190 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 6,992 0.595 $4,160.38 $664.26 +19.0%
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 6,992 0.405 $2,831.86 $-664.26 -19.0%
LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs Zeu5 Esports 2,660 0.850 $2,261.00 $-183.36 -7.5%
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs BetBoom Team 3,928 0.535 $2,101.48 $137.48 +7.0%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group Dplus KIA Challengers 547 0.977 $534.42 $18.76 +3.6%
Rippling IPO before 2027? No 564 0.875 $493.90 $493.90 +0.0%
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 516 0.930 $480.06 $480.06 +0.0%
Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No 516 0.862 $444.79 $444.79 +0.0%
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? No 200 0.931 $185.84 $185.84 +0.0%
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? No 283 0.630 $178.14 $178.14 +0.0%
Will Rihanna have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No 315 0.542 $170.71 $170.71 +0.0%
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No 234 0.705 $164.97 $164.97 +0.0%
Will SZA have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No 325 0.500 $162.68 $162.68 +0.0%
Will Tyler, The Creator have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No 174 0.790 $137.21 $137.21 +0.0%
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? Yes 3,865 0.029 $114.02 $114.02 +0.0%
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 467 0.240 $111.98 $111.98 +0.0%
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 125 0.865 $108.11 $108.11 +0.0%
Will Justin Bieber release an album in 2026? No 181 0.565 $102.25 $102.25 +0.0%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 389 0.261 $101.30 $101.30 +0.0%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes 1,207 0.065 $78.45 $78.45 +0.0%
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No 92 0.805 $73.80 $73.80 +0.0%
Will Luke Combs have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No 91 0.810 $73.71 $73.71 +0.0%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winner Dplus KIA Challengers 77 0.946 $72.84 $-1.85 -2.5%
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes 746 0.095 $70.88 $70.88 +0.0%
Will Arthur Hayes appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? No 75 0.901 $67.61 $67.61 +0.0%