CaballoParaguallo
0x91ad42250b9c63ddc516905fdb16f5293ea6a5ca
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$386
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$17
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-42.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
63%
26W / 15L · 13 open
Win Return (30d)
51%
26W / 25L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
54
across 17 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$27.54
avg win $51 · loss $133
Profit Factor
0.52
$412 won / $797 lost
Reward / Risk
0.39
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,361 · all-time $2,832,712
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
150 |
0.375 |
$56.25 |
$-0.75 |
-1.3% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
181 |
0.259 |
$46.86 |
$-0.82 |
-1.7% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? |
No |
80 |
0.575 |
$46.00 |
$6.80 |
+17.3% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
120 |
0.298 |
$35.82 |
$-0.90 |
-2.5% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? |
No |
30 |
0.775 |
$23.24 |
$1.65 |
+7.6% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
Yes |
164 |
0.115 |
$18.87 |
$-2.46 |
-11.5% |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's US Open? |
Yes |
1,300 |
0.007 |
$9.75 |
$-1.95 |
-16.7% |