CaballoParaguallo
0x91ad42250b9c63ddc516905fdb16f5293ea6a5ca
PnL (30d)
−$532
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$95
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-10.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
57%
51W / 38L · 109 open
Win Return (30d)
35%
67W / 125L · 6 open
Trades (30d)
198
across 50 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$19.01
avg win $74 · loss $89
Profit Factor
0.63
$891 won / $1,423 lost
Reward / Risk
0.83
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$56
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,361 · all-time $2,832,712
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
150 |
0.375 |
$56.25 |
$-0.75 |
-1.3% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
181 |
0.261 |
$47.22 |
$-0.45 |
-1.0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? |
No |
80 |
0.575 |
$46.00 |
$6.80 |
+17.3% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
120 |
0.298 |
$35.82 |
$-0.90 |
-2.5% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? |
No |
30 |
0.795 |
$23.84 |
$2.25 |
+10.4% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
Yes |
164 |
0.125 |
$20.51 |
$-0.82 |
-3.8% |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's US Open? |
Yes |
1,300 |
0.007 |
$9.75 |
$-1.95 |
-16.7% |