Trader
0x9188ed4147f56a7dbf0c5b299be00e1d1072e046
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$65
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+18.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
24%
34W / 106L
Win Return (30d)
24%
34W / 106L
Trades (30d)
140
across 28 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$2.31
avg win $61 · loss $14
Profit Factor
1.22
$364 won / $299 lost
Reward / Risk
4.46
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$27
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,682 · all-time $181,565
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
15.2%
201W/1,122L
|
262 |
$5,515 |
|
🌤 Weather
|
25.0%
2W/6L
|
3 |
$126 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.038 |
$38.50 |
$-61.49 |
-61.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? |
Yes |
27 |
1.000 |
$26.99 |
$25.91 |
+2398.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5? |
Yes |
100 |
0.001 |
$0.05 |
$-17.95 |
-99.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? |
Yes |
100 |
0.001 |
$0.05 |
$-15.95 |
-99.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5? |
Yes |
100 |
0.001 |
$0.05 |
$-19.95 |
-99.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 5? |
Yes |
100 |
0.001 |
$0.05 |
$-3.95 |
-98.8% |