PnL (30d)

−$21

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$42

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

15%

201W / 1,122L · 20 open

Win Return (30d)

15%

201W / 1,142L

Trades (30d)

1,343

across 262 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$0.08

avg win $64 · loss $13

Profit Factor

0.99

$2,767 won / $2,788 lost

Reward / Risk

4.99

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$134

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	15.2% 201W/1,122L	262	$5,515
🌤 Weather	25.0% 2W/6L	3	$126

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.038	$38.50	$-61.49	-61.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	27	0.987	$26.65	$25.57	+2367.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	100	0.001	$0.05	$-17.95	-99.7%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	100	0.001	$0.05	$-15.95	-99.7%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	100	0.001	$0.05	$-19.95	-99.8%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 5?	Yes	100	0.001	$0.05	$-3.95	-98.8%