0x91784d82fbe4543459ee85fc9809be185d70a2b
0x91784d82fbe4543459ee85fc9809be185d70a2b2
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$31
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$603
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
69%
76W / 34L · 155 open
Win Return (30d)
60%
148W / 99L · 18 open
Trades (30d)
265
across 20 markets · ~13 per market
EV / position
+$4.42
avg win $207 · loss $77
Profit Factor
1.08
$414 won / $383 lost
Reward / Risk
2.70
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $102,585 · all-time $13,875,823
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.050 |
$150.00 |
$-30.00 |
-16.7% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
Yes |
6,174 |
0.019 |
$120.40 |
$-51.55 |
-30.0% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? |
No |
1,454 |
0.075 |
$109.06 |
$12.87 |
+13.4% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Yes |
180 |
0.040 |
$7.11 |
$0.45 |
+6.8% |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? |
Yes |
31 |
0.185 |
$5.76 |
$0.47 |
+8.8% |