PnL (30d)

−$72

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$2,712

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

58%

199W / 143L · 308 open

Win Return (30d)

66%

414W / 216L · 20 open

Trades (30d)

650

across 65 markets · ~10 per market

EV / position

−$2.04

avg win $93 · loss $65

Profit Factor

0.95

$1,302 won / $1,374 lost

Reward / Risk

1.42

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$7

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	58.2% 199W/143L	65	$51,666
🏛 Politics	—	8	$2,790
💵 Economy	—	1	$180

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	Yes	7,879	0.033	$256.07	$37.74	+17.3%
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	3,000	0.045	$135.00	$-45.00	-25.0%
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	1,454	0.075	$109.06	$12.87	+13.4%
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	Yes	6,174	0.015	$89.53	$-82.42	-47.9%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	180	0.040	$7.11	$0.45	+6.8%
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	Yes	31	0.185	$5.76	$0.47	+8.8%