| Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? |
No |
3,448 |
0.785 |
$2,706.91 |
$129.71 |
+5.0% |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,021 |
0.875 |
$1,768.18 |
$31.90 |
+1.8% |
| Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,439 |
0.674 |
$1,644.21 |
$441.86 |
+36.8% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
976 |
0.940 |
$917.80 |
$201.75 |
+28.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
1,157 |
0.705 |
$815.80 |
$192.43 |
+30.9% |
| Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? |
No |
749 |
0.932 |
$698.46 |
$-29.98 |
-4.1% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? |
No |
803 |
0.870 |
$698.23 |
$109.22 |
+18.5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
550 |
0.935 |
$514.25 |
$5.75 |
+1.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay |
No |
527 |
0.900 |
$474.42 |
$11.81 |
+2.6% |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? |
No |
453 |
0.985 |
$446.12 |
$11.10 |
+2.6% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? |
No |
475 |
0.925 |
$439.02 |
$4.61 |
+1.1% |
| Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027? |
No |
478 |
0.875 |
$418.65 |
$60.22 |
+16.8% |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? |
No |
400 |
0.953 |
$381.00 |
$19.80 |
+5.5% |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027? |
No |
435 |
0.795 |
$345.99 |
$-1.29 |
-0.4% |
| Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027? |
No |
391 |
0.840 |
$328.06 |
$50.34 |
+18.1% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
355 |
0.915 |
$324.82 |
$15.97 |
+5.2% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
634 |
0.512 |
$324.43 |
$79.58 |
+32.5% |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? |
No |
1,393 |
0.230 |
$320.40 |
$26.05 |
+8.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
500 |
0.615 |
$307.50 |
$-33.50 |
-9.8% |
| Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? |
No |
330 |
0.920 |
$303.51 |
$6.60 |
+2.2% |
| Another US debt downgrade before 2027? |
No |
361 |
0.840 |
$303.38 |
$56.98 |
+23.1% |
| Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027? |
No |
481 |
0.615 |
$295.80 |
$-4.59 |
-1.5% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.280 |
$280.00 |
$-300.00 |
-51.7% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
1,287 |
0.215 |
$277.42 |
$59.42 |
+27.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
591 |
0.425 |
$251.67 |
$200.90 |
+395.7% |