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Trader leaderboard/cool.keith

cool.keith

0x90b8a592168217809c2d79366dfe682b80278665
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$5
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
81%
30W / 7L · 7 open
Win Return (30d)
79%
30W / 8L · 6 open
Trades (30d)
44
across 16 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.40
avg win $1 · loss $0
Profit Factor
5.76
$6 won / $1 lost
Reward / Risk
4.11
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,835 · all-time $1,213,862

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 44.0% 624W/793L 657 $828
⚽ Sports 34.4% 44W/84L 86 $121
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/10L 10 $9
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/9L 8 $8
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/2L 5 $1
🤖 Tech 4 $6
🏛 Politics 4 $5
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/1L 4 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will no Lemonade Stand episode air? Yes 29 0.372 $10.70 $10.42 +3722.4%
Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by August 16, 2026? Yes 17 0.405 $6.69 $6.53 +3950.0%
Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 0.5 Under 43 0.085 $3.60 $1.90 +111.2%
Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by August 31, 2026? Yes 8 0.385 $3.25 $2.83 +670.0%
Will "Time" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? No 18 0.144 $2.62 $2.26 +622.5%
Burgos CF vs. Athletic Bilbao: O/U 3.5 Over 23 0.070 $1.61 $1.15 +250.0%
San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 0.5 Under 16 0.062 $1.00 $0.04 +4.2%
Will Republicans win 5 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala? Yes 25 0.009 $0.24 $0.04 +18.7%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 7? Yes 11 0.015 $0.16 $-0.05 -25.0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 7? Yes 11 0.010 $0.11 $-0.11 -50.0%
Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 120m by August 31? Yes 5 0.019 $0.09 $0.02 +35.6%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on August 6? Yes 8 0.004 $0.03 $-0.12 -77.5%
Will Vittorio Medioli win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? Yes 13 0.002 $0.03 $-0.01 -33.5%
LoL: UP2UMEDIA Cebulaki vs Forsaken (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season UP2UMEDIA Cebulaki 28 0.001 $0.01 $-0.50 -97.3%
Will Nico Schlotterbeck join Liverpool? Yes 5 0.003 $0.01 $-0.04 -77.1%
Will Luís Eduardo Falcão win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? Yes 15 0.001 $0.01 $-0.08 -91.3%
LoL: Sørby eSport vs Absolved (BO3) - NLC Regular Season Sørby eSport 15 0.001 $0.01 $-0.23 -96.9%