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Trader leaderboard/cool.keith

cool.keith

0x90b8a592168217809c2d79366dfe682b80278665
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$5
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$5
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 16L · 7 open
Win Return (30d)
20%
4W / 16L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
23
across 15 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.44
· loss $0
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $5 lost
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$3
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,674 · all-time $1,213,701

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 44.0% 624W/793L 656 $827
⚽ Sports 34.4% 44W/84L 86 $121
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/10L 10 $9
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/9L 8 $8
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/2L 4 $1
🤖 Tech 4 $6
🏛 Politics 4 $5
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/1L 4 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

15 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will no Lemonade Stand episode air? Yes 28 0.435 $12.05 $11.77 +4255.0%
Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by August 16, 2026? Yes 17 0.450 $7.43 $7.27 +4400.0%
Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 0.5 Under 43 0.081 $3.45 $1.75 +102.5%
Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by August 31, 2026? Yes 8 0.385 $3.25 $2.83 +670.0%
Burgos CF vs. Athletic Bilbao: O/U 3.5 Over 23 0.070 $1.61 $1.15 +250.0%
San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 0.5 Under 16 0.048 $0.76 $-0.20 -20.8%
Will "Time" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? No 18 0.032 $0.57 $0.21 +57.5%
Will Republicans win 5 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala? Yes 25 0.009 $0.24 $0.04 +18.7%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 7? Yes 11 0.015 $0.16 $-0.05 -25.0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 7? Yes 11 0.010 $0.11 $-0.11 -50.0%
Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 120m by August 31? Yes 5 0.019 $0.09 $0.02 +35.6%
Will Vittorio Medioli win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? Yes 13 0.004 $0.05 $0.01 +33.0%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on August 6? Yes 8 0.004 $0.03 $-0.12 -77.5%
Will Nico Schlotterbeck join Liverpool? Yes 5 0.003 $0.01 $-0.04 -77.1%
Will Luís Eduardo Falcão win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? Yes 15 0.001 $0.01 $-0.08 -91.3%