PnL (30d)

−$21

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$8

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-8.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

9%

3W / 31L · 18 open

Win Return (30d)

8%

3W / 37L · 12 open

Trades (30d)

52

across 14 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$2.36

avg win $12 · loss $4

Profit Factor

0.37

$12 won / $34 lost

Reward / Risk

2.95

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$3

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	18.8% 32W/138L	91	$3,796
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/5L	5	$148
⚽ Sports	100.0% 2W/0L	5	$102
🏛 Politics	—	4	$84
💵 Economy	—	3	$91
🤖 Tech	—	1	$30

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	60	0.835	$50.10	$20.10	+67.0%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	62	0.410	$25.62	$-4.38	-14.6%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	25	0.820	$20.50	$0.50	+2.5%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	72	0.110	$7.88	$-22.12	-73.7%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	61	0.095	$5.82	$-24.18	-80.6%
Will Clavicular visit Thailand in 2026?	Yes	20	0.163	$3.25	$-5.95	-64.7%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?	Yes	40	0.060	$2.40	$-19.60	-89.1%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	57	0.038	$2.21	$-2.79	-55.7%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	71	0.015	$1.07	$0.07	+7.1%
Will RISEx launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	20	0.023	$0.46	$-8.74	-95.0%