PnL (30d)

−$404

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$88

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-18.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

19%

32W / 138L · 84 open

Win Return (30d)

17%

38W / 180L · 36 open

Trades (30d)

254

across 91 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$7.48

avg win $7 · loss $12

Profit Factor

0.17

$85 won / $489 lost

Reward / Risk

0.61

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$142

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	18.8% 32W/138L	91	$3,796
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/6L	6	$152
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	5	$88
⚽ Sports	100.0% 2W/0L	5	$102
💵 Economy	—	3	$91
🤖 Tech	—	1	$30

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	60	0.815	$48.89	$18.89	+63.0%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	62	0.405	$25.31	$-4.69	-15.6%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	25	0.820	$20.50	$0.50	+2.5%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	72	0.110	$7.88	$-22.12	-73.7%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	61	0.085	$5.20	$-24.80	-82.7%
Will Clavicular visit Thailand in 2026?	Yes	20	0.169	$3.37	$-5.83	-63.4%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?	Yes	40	0.055	$2.20	$-19.80	-90.0%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	57	0.037	$2.16	$-2.84	-56.9%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	71	0.013	$0.96	$-0.04	-3.6%
Will RISEx launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	20	0.024	$0.47	$-8.73	-94.9%