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Trader leaderboard/CarolBeer

CarolBeer

0x8fce065d5820ea3deb72976640290959bb952566
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$37
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$95
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 5L · 34 open
Win Return (30d)
15%
6W / 33L
Trades (30d)
39
across 13 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$36.81
· loss $37
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $37 lost
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$37
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $9,336 · all-time $677,706

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 42.8% 59W/79L 79 $15,539
🏛 Politics 37.5% 3W/5L 21 $3,153
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/5L 11 $1,419
₿ Crypto 4 $421
🎬 Culture 1 $202

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

29 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 900 0.790 $711.45 $261.45 +58.1%
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? No 900 0.770 $692.97 $81.19 +13.3%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No 400 0.885 $354.00 $16.40 +4.9%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No 400 0.865 $346.01 $109.00 +46.0%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 400 0.835 $334.03 $50.30 +17.7%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 400 0.823 $329.01 $261.66 +388.5%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 400 0.675 $270.00 $22.00 +8.9%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 300 0.645 $193.50 $28.50 +17.3%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 300 0.635 $190.50 $7.50 +4.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 900 0.209 $188.55 $-261.45 -58.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? No 200 0.855 $171.00 $71.00 +71.0%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No 400 0.397 $158.74 $23.30 +17.2%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 200 0.785 $157.00 $98.70 +169.3%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 300 0.515 $154.50 $37.50 +32.1%
US recession by end of 2026? No 150 0.920 $138.01 $22.49 +19.5%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1,000 0.135 $134.49 $88.03 +189.5%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No 150 0.885 $132.72 $32.86 +32.9%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 150 0.875 $131.25 $5.25 +4.2%
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? No 300 0.435 $130.50 $-1.27 -1.0%
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes 200 0.560 $111.98 $-2.15 -1.9%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 400 0.255 $102.00 $-2.00 -1.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? Yes 154 0.545 $84.00 $-8.48 -9.2%
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes 200 0.415 $83.00 $-9.69 -10.5%
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes 300 0.195 $58.50 $-4.50 -7.1%
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes 200 0.230 $46.00 $-2.00 -4.2%