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Trader leaderboard/rocky42019

rocky42019

0x8f13db915cca106e6330e8a39996c0a875d8daae
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1,047
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$7
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-7.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
326W / 324L · 7 open
Win Return (30d)
51%
331W / 324L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
657
across 81 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
−$13.25
avg win $54 · loss $61
Profit Factor
0.63
$1,775 won / $2,822 lost
Reward / Risk
0.88
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$112
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,822 · all-time $9,768,070

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 45.5% 1,930W/2,308L 375 $114,171
⚽ Sports 62.2% 51W/31L 21 $1,424
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/5L 18 $5,112
🌤 Weather 48.5% 50W/53L 10 $859
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/1L 7 $1,784
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/5L 5 $344
🔬 Science 3 $78
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/1L 2 $2,273
🤖 Tech 2 $53

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

81 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 402 0.997 $400.36 $196.59 +96.5%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No 441 0.685 $302.07 $37.86 +14.3%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No 351 0.845 $297.02 $47.45 +19.0%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31? No 238 0.770 $183.26 $-4.76 -2.5%
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? No 217 0.785 $170.34 $8.81 +5.5%
Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026? Yes 206 0.685 $141.11 $38.11 +37.0%
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in August? No 129 0.755 $97.39 $10.96 +12.7%
Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026? Yes 229 0.420 $96.32 $44.19 +84.8%
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? Yes 188 0.410 $77.03 $-0.01 -0.0%
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? No 242 0.310 $75.08 $-58.13 -43.6%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 479 0.155 $74.25 $-27.89 -27.3%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31? No 112 0.615 $68.88 $2.80 +4.2%
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes 299 0.225 $67.38 $-52.32 -43.7%
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? Yes 201 0.290 $58.15 $-12.03 -17.1%
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%? Yes 128 0.415 $53.06 $5.75 +12.2%
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? Yes 538 0.095 $51.06 $-68.40 -57.3%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes 299 0.155 $46.36 $-43.37 -48.3%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes 299 0.115 $34.43 $-4.48 -11.5%
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? Yes 289 0.115 $33.23 $-7.38 -18.2%
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? Yes 300 0.100 $30.00 $-18.30 -37.9%
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? Yes 1,181 0.025 $29.99 $-111.53 -78.8%
Counter-Strike: Glitchtech Esports vs QUAZAR (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season Glitchtech Esports 66 0.405 $26.68 $2.18 +8.9%
Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027? Yes 138 0.192 $26.51 $14.08 +113.3%
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? No 464 0.055 $25.52 $-39.44 -60.7%
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting? No 79 0.255 $20.07 $-1.18 -5.6%