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Trader leaderboard/rocky42019

rocky42019

0x8f13db915cca106e6330e8a39996c0a875d8daae
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$145
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$103
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 8L · 206 open
Win Return (30d)
93%
200W / 14L
Trades (30d)
214
across 12 markets · ~18 per market
EV / position
−$48.48
· loss $48
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $145 lost
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$37
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,822 · all-time $9,768,070

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 45.5% 1,930W/2,308L 375 $114,171
⚽ Sports 60.5% 46W/30L 20 $1,372
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/5L 18 $4,528
🌤 Weather 58.1% 50W/36L 8 $826
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/1L 7 $1,256
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/5L 5 $344
🔬 Science 3 $78
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/1L 2 $2,240
🤖 Tech 2 $53

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

81 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 402 0.992 $398.15 $194.38 +95.4%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No 351 0.865 $304.05 $54.48 +21.8%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No 441 0.685 $302.07 $37.86 +14.3%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31? No 238 0.770 $183.26 $-4.76 -2.5%
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? No 217 0.780 $169.26 $7.72 +4.8%
Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026? Yes 206 0.815 $167.87 $64.87 +63.0%
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in August? No 129 0.755 $97.39 $10.96 +12.7%
Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026? Yes 229 0.420 $96.32 $44.19 +84.8%
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? Yes 188 0.410 $77.03 $-0.01 -0.0%
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? No 242 0.310 $75.08 $-58.13 -43.6%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 479 0.155 $74.25 $-27.89 -27.3%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31? No 112 0.625 $70.00 $3.92 +5.9%
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes 299 0.210 $62.88 $-56.81 -47.5%
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? Yes 201 0.290 $58.15 $-12.03 -17.1%
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%? Yes 128 0.415 $53.06 $5.75 +12.2%
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? Yes 538 0.095 $51.06 $-68.40 -57.3%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes 299 0.135 $40.38 $-49.35 -55.0%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes 299 0.115 $34.43 $-4.48 -11.5%
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? Yes 289 0.115 $33.23 $-7.38 -18.2%
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? Yes 300 0.100 $30.00 $-18.30 -37.9%
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? Yes 1,181 0.025 $29.99 $-111.53 -78.8%
Counter-Strike: Glitchtech Esports vs QUAZAR (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season Glitchtech Esports 66 0.405 $26.68 $2.18 +8.9%
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? No 464 0.055 $25.52 $-39.44 -60.7%
Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027? Yes 138 0.171 $23.54 $11.12 +89.4%
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting? No 79 0.255 $20.07 $-1.18 -5.6%