| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,830 |
0.560 |
$1,024.95 |
$-52.84 |
-4.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
5,683 |
0.165 |
$937.61 |
$-210.43 |
-18.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
No |
5,278 |
0.145 |
$765.24 |
$-226.78 |
-22.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
No |
3,530 |
0.215 |
$758.89 |
$-670.51 |
-46.9% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? |
Yes |
2,234 |
0.290 |
$647.94 |
$-120.15 |
-15.6% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
9,878 |
0.065 |
$642.09 |
$-216.60 |
-25.2% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
912 |
0.610 |
$556.14 |
$95.87 |
+20.8% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
432 |
0.900 |
$388.90 |
$36.11 |
+10.2% |
| Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? |
Yes |
270 |
0.972 |
$262.26 |
$224.54 |
+595.4% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
Yes |
3,679 |
0.065 |
$239.16 |
$-146.64 |
-38.0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? |
Yes |
14,883 |
0.012 |
$178.59 |
$-365.46 |
-67.2% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
Yes |
284 |
0.485 |
$137.89 |
$0.03 |
+0.0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
1,995 |
0.048 |
$95.74 |
$-55.96 |
-36.9% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? |
Yes |
221 |
0.375 |
$82.80 |
$-31.29 |
-27.4% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
285 |
0.290 |
$82.71 |
$-8.56 |
-9.4% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
Yes |
309 |
0.165 |
$50.96 |
$-22.76 |
-30.9% |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.260 |
$26.00 |
$-29.34 |
-53.0% |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
523 |
0.040 |
$20.92 |
$-24.18 |
-53.6% |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.060 |
$18.00 |
$-14.10 |
-43.9% |
| Will Keith Kellogg visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? |
No |
56 |
0.320 |
$17.76 |
$0.61 |
+3.6% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? |
Yes |
107 |
0.090 |
$9.60 |
$-1.07 |
-10.0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
100 |
0.065 |
$6.50 |
$-20.50 |
-75.9% |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
21 |
0.230 |
$4.83 |
$0.43 |
+9.8% |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
91 |
0.040 |
$3.63 |
$-9.17 |
-71.7% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
Yes |
34 |
0.019 |
$0.66 |
$-2.33 |
-77.9% |