| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,830 |
0.535 |
$979.20 |
$-98.60 |
-9.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
5,683 |
0.155 |
$880.79 |
$-267.25 |
-23.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
No |
5,278 |
0.125 |
$659.69 |
$-332.33 |
-33.5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
9,878 |
0.065 |
$642.09 |
$-216.60 |
-25.2% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? |
Yes |
2,234 |
0.255 |
$569.74 |
$-198.35 |
-25.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
No |
3,530 |
0.160 |
$564.76 |
$-864.64 |
-60.5% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
912 |
0.585 |
$533.35 |
$73.08 |
+15.9% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
432 |
0.935 |
$404.02 |
$51.24 |
+14.5% |
| Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? |
Yes |
270 |
0.962 |
$259.56 |
$221.85 |
+588.3% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
Yes |
3,679 |
0.065 |
$239.16 |
$-146.64 |
-38.0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? |
Yes |
14,883 |
0.011 |
$171.15 |
$-372.90 |
-68.5% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
Yes |
284 |
0.455 |
$129.36 |
$-8.50 |
-6.2% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
1,995 |
0.049 |
$96.74 |
$-54.97 |
-36.2% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? |
Yes |
221 |
0.375 |
$82.80 |
$-31.29 |
-27.4% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
285 |
0.290 |
$82.71 |
$-8.56 |
-9.4% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
Yes |
309 |
0.170 |
$52.51 |
$-21.22 |
-28.8% |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.260 |
$26.00 |
$-29.34 |
-53.0% |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
523 |
0.040 |
$20.92 |
$-24.18 |
-53.6% |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.060 |
$18.00 |
$-14.10 |
-43.9% |
| Will Keith Kellogg visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? |
No |
56 |
0.320 |
$17.76 |
$0.61 |
+3.6% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? |
Yes |
107 |
0.090 |
$9.60 |
$-1.07 |
-10.0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
100 |
0.065 |
$6.50 |
$-20.50 |
-75.9% |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
21 |
0.230 |
$4.83 |
$0.43 |
+9.8% |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
91 |
0.040 |
$3.63 |
$-9.17 |
-71.7% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
Yes |
34 |
0.013 |
$0.42 |
$-2.56 |
-85.8% |